闪存数据显示,法国经济在2025年第一季度季度环比增长0.1%,扭转了第四季度0.1%的收缩,但未达到市场预期的0.2%的扩张。库存变化对GDP有积极贡献(0.5个百分点),而最终国内需求没有贡献,净贸易仍然是拖累因素。家庭消费持平(第四季度为0.2%),因为商品购买量的下降被服务支出的增加所抵消。与此同时,政府支出放缓(0.1%对0.4%)。与此同时,由于建筑和制成品疲软,固定投资进一步萎缩(-0.2%对-0.1%)。尽管美国总统特朗普宣布对大多数国家暂停三个月的关税,但出口大幅下降(-0.7%对0.2%),法国官员认为他的贸易政策不可预测。与此同时,进口继续增长(0.4%对0.5%)。按年计算,经济增长0.8%,与第四季度向上修正的数字相匹配,略高于0.7%的共识。
The French economy grew by 0.1% qoq in Q1 of 2025, reversing a 0.1% contraction in Q4 but falling short of market expectations for a 0.2% expansion, flash data showed. Inventory changes contributed positively to the GDP (0.5 ppts), while final domestic demand made no contribution, and net trade remained a drag. Household consumption was flat (vs 0.2% in Q4), as a decline in goods purchases was offset by higher spending on services. At the same time, government expenditure slowed (0.1% vs 0.4%). Meanwhile, fixed investment shrank further (-0.2% vs -0.1%), weighed down by weakness in construction and manufactured goods. Exports fell sharply (-0.7% vs 0.2%), despite U.S. President Trump's announcement of a three-month tariff pause for most countries, with French officials viewing his trade policy as unpredictable. Meanwhile, imports continued to rise (0.4% vs 0.5%). On a yearly basis, the economy expanded 0.8%, matching an upwardly revised Q4 figure and slightly beating consensus of 0.7%.