预计2025年6月，美国个人消费支出价格指数将环比上涨0.3%，为四个月来最大涨幅，此前5月和4月均小幅上涨0.1%。不包括食品和能源的核心个人消费支出指数也预计将上涨0.3%，这是继5月上涨0.2%之后的四个月以来最强劲的月度涨幅。按年度计算，整体个人消费支出通胀预计将连续第二个月加速，从5月的2.3%上升到6月的2.5%。相比之下，核心个人消费收入通胀预计将稳定在2.7%。个人消费支出指数是美联储首选的通胀指标。

The US PCE price index is expected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month in June 2025, the largest increase in four months, after more modest gains of 0.1% in both May and April. The core PCE index, which excludes food and energy, is also projected to climb 0.3%, marking its strongest monthly gain in four months, following a 0.2% increase in May. On an annual basis, headline PCE inflation is forecast to accelerate for the second consecutive month, reaching 2.5% in June from 2.3% in May. In contrast, core PCE inflation is expected to hold steady at 2.7%. The PCE index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation.