美联储会议前美元企稳。周一，在美联储领导的充满央行决策的关键一周之前，美元保持稳定，而欧元对惠誉下调法国信用评级几乎没有反应。

Dollar steadies ahead of Fed meeting.The dollar held steady on Monday ahead of a pivotal week filled with central bank decisions led by the Federal Reserve, while the euro hardly reacted to Fitch's downgrade of France's credit rating.

周一，美国股指期货保持稳定，投资者正在等待本周关键的美联储会议。市场预计周三降息25个基点的可能性约为96%，更大幅度降息0.5个基点的概率约为4%。这一预期是在美国最近的数据显示劳动力市场降温和通胀疲软之后做出的。交易员们也在关注斯蒂芬·米兰是否会在会议前宣誓就任美联储理事。上周，道琼斯指数上涨0.95%，标准普尔500指数上涨1.59%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.03%，三个基准指数均创下历史新高。尽管对经济前景的担忧持续存在，但围绕人工智能的乐观情绪仍支撑着市场情绪。

US stock futures were steady on Monday as investors awaited this week’s pivotal Federal Reserve meeting. Markets are pricing in about a 96% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday and roughly a 4% likelihood of a larger half-point move. The expectations follow recent US data showing a cooling labor market and subdued inflation. Traders are also watching whether Stephen Miran will be sworn in as a Fed governor ahead of the meeting. Last week, the Dow advanced 0.95%, the S&P 500 gained 1.59%, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.03%, with all three benchmarks hitting all-time highs. Sentiment remained underpinned by optimism around artificial intelligence, even as concerns over the economic outlook persisted.

美元预测：美联储三次降息，失业救济人数创4年新高。本周，美元在波动的交易中下跌，因为市场预计美联储将在年底前三次降息，此前首次申请失业救济人数飙升至近四年来的最高点。劳动力市场的冲击掩盖了美国2.9%的顽固通胀，并使欧元/美元保持在1.17左右的七周高点附近。

Dollar Forecast: Three Fed Cuts Now Priced as Jobless Claims Hit 4-Year High.The US dollar slipped in volatile trading this week as markets priced in three Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end after jobless claims surged to a near four-year high. The labour-market shock has overshadowed stubborn US inflation at 2.9% and kept EUR/USD near seven-week highs around 1.17.

在纽约，道琼斯指数周五下跌231点，跌幅0.50%。默克（-2.75%）、宣伟（-2.14%）和霍尼韦尔国际（-1.79%）领跌。抵消跌幅，涨幅最大的是苹果（1.82%）、微软（1.76%）和沃尔玛（0.83%）。

In New York, the Dow Jones Index dropped 231 points or 0.50 percent on Friday. Losses were led by Merck (-2.75%), Sherwin-Williams (-2.14%) and Honeywell International (-1.79%). Offsetting the fall, top gainers were Apple (1.82%), Microsoft (1.76%) and Walmart (0.83%).