2025年8月，欧元区消费者价格通胀率为2.0%，略低于初步估计的2.1%，因为能源成本下降幅度超过了最初的预期。总体通胀率已连续第三个月达到欧洲央行2%的目标，这增强了人们对货币政策将在一段时间内保持稳定的预期。各类别的价格动态喜忧参半：未加工食品通胀率从7月份的5.4%微升至5.5%，而能源价格在上个月下跌2.4%后下跌2.0%。服务业通胀从3.2%降至3.1%，加工食品、酒精和烟草价格上涨2.6%，略低于2.7%。非能源工业品通胀率维持在0.8%不变。剔除食品、能源、酒精和烟草的核心通胀率稳定在2.3%，为2022年1月以来的最低水平。

Euro area consumer price inflation stood at 2.0% in August 2025, slightly below a preliminary estimate of 2.1%, as energy costs declined more than initially thought. Headline inflation has now matched the European Central Bank’s 2% target for a third straight month, reinforcing expectations that monetary policy will remain steady for some time. Price dynamics were mixed across categories: unprocessed food inflation edged higher to 5.5% from 5.4% in July, while energy prices fell 2.0% after a 2.4% drop the previous month. Services inflation eased to 3.1% from 3.2%, and processed food, alcohol, and tobacco prices rose 2.6%, down slightly from 2.7%. Non-energy industrial goods inflation was unchanged at 0.8%. Core inflation, which strips out food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco, held steady at 2.3%—its lowest since January 2022.

2025年8月，欧元区的年度核心通胀率（不包括食品、能源和烟草价格）连续第四个月为2.3%，与初步估计一致，仍略高于最初市场预期的2.2%。尽管仍处于2021年10月以来的最低水平，但经济没有放缓可能会分散欧洲央行管理委员会鸽派和鹰派成员对货币政策反应的看法，利率期货显示出更大的共识，即欧洲央行今年不会进一步降息。

The annual core inflation rate in the Euro Area, which excludes prices of food, energy, and tobacco, was at 2.3% for the fourth consecutive month in August of 2025, in line with the preliminary estimate and remaining slightly ahead of the initial market expectations of 2.2%. Despite remaining at the lowest level since October 2021, the lack of a slowdown could fragment opinions of monetary policy response between dovish and hawkish members of the ECB Governing Council, with rate futures showing a larger consensus that the ECB will not deliver more rate cuts this year.

欧洲股市周三走高，STOXX 50指数上涨0.3%，至5390点，更广泛的STOXX 600指数上涨0.1%，投资者等待美联储的政策决定。人们普遍预计美联储将在九个月内首次降息，将利率下调至少25个基点，因为官员们正在权衡劳动力市场放缓与关税驱动的通货膨胀。市场还将分析美联储的季度“点图”预测，以寻找未来政策路径上的信号。在数据方面，英国8月份的通胀率稳定在3.8%，与7月份持平，接近2024年1月的高点，就在英格兰银行自己的政策决定前一天。在企业新闻方面，PostNL在其资本市场日公布了一项新战略后飙升7%，宣布计划从2026年开始将其包裹业务分为两个部门——电子商务和平台。在Berenberg将这家丹麦制药商从“持有”升级为“买入”后，诺和诺德股价上涨1.8%。

European equity markets traded higher on Wednesday, with the STOXX 50 up 0.3% to 5,390 and the broader STOXX 600 adding 0.1%, as investors awaited the US Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The Fed is widely expected to deliver its first rate cut in nine months, lowering rates by at least 25 basis points as officials weigh a slowing labor market against tariff-driven inflation. Markets will also parse the Fed’s quarterly “dot plot” projections for signals on the path of future policy. On the data front, UK inflation held steady at 3.8% in August, unchanged from July and near January 2024 highs, just a day before the Bank of England’s own policy decision. In corporate news, PostNL surged 7% after unveiling a new strategy at its Capital Markets Day, announcing plans to split its Parcels business into two divisions—E-commerce and Platforms—starting in 2026. Novo Nordisk gained 1.8% after Berenberg upgraded the Danish drugmaker to "Buy" from "Hold".

欧元稳定在1.18美元上方，接近2021年9月以来的最高水平，投资者等待美联储的政策宣布和今天晚些时候公布的最新经济预测。市场普遍预计美联储将降息至少25个基点，并发出进一步宽松的信号，因为政策制定者正在权衡劳动力市场降温与挥之不去的关税驱动的通胀压力。相比之下，欧洲官员继续强调谨慎。欧洲央行执行委员会成员伊莎贝尔·施纳贝尔敦促政策制定者“保持稳健”，理由是关税、服务通胀、食品价格和财政政策带来的风险。斯洛伐克央行行长彼得·卡齐米尔回应了这一警告，称淡化这些风险是“错误的”。欧洲央行上周连续第二次会议保持借贷成本不变，这表明其降息周期可能已经结束。

The euro stabilized just above $1.18, holding close to its strongest level since September 2021, as investors awaited the US Federal Reserve’s policy announcement and updated economic projections due later today. Markets broadly expect the Fed to cut rates by at least 25 basis points and signal further easing, as policymakers weigh a cooling labor market against lingering tariff-driven inflationary pressures. European officials, by contrast, continue to stress caution. ECB executive board member Isabel Schnabel urged policymakers to “keep a steady hand,” citing risks from tariffs, services inflation, food prices, and fiscal policy. Slovak central bank governor Peter Kazimir echoed the warning, saying it would be “a mistake” to downplay these risks. The ECB last week kept borrowing costs unchanged for a second straight meeting, signaling its rate-cutting cycle may be over.