2025年10月,加拿大CFIB商业晴雨表长期指数下跌3.9点,至46.3点。大多数行业的信心减弱,其中建筑业(下降9.3点至43.2点)、运输业(下降8.6点至42.4点)、零售业(下降5.8点至42.6点)和制造业(下降4.1点至44.6点)领跌。只有卫生和教育(55.4)、农业(54.5)和专业服务(52.7)仍高于50。持续的美加贸易争端打压了市场情绪,72%的公司报告了负面影响,特别是在运输业(38%)、制造业(27%)和批发业(26%)。从地区来看,阿尔伯塔省的跌幅最大,下降9.9点至43.8点。劳动力市场状况持续疲软,计划裁员的雇主(19%)多于招聘(12%)。52%的受访者表示,需求不足仍然是业务和生产扩张的主要障碍。与此同时,阻碍增长的主要成本制约因素是保险(68%)、税收和监管费用(67%)以及工资成本(64%)。
Canada’s CFIB Business Barometer long-term index fell 3.9 points to 46.3 in October 2025. Confidence weakened across most sectors, led by construction (down 9.3 points to 43.2), transportation (-8.6 to 42.4), retail (-5.8 to 42.6), and manufacturing (-4.1 to 44.6). Only health and education (55.4), agriculture (54.5), and professional services (52.7) remained above 50. The ongoing US–Canada trade dispute weighed on sentiment, with 72% of firms reporting negative effects — particularly in transportation (38%), manufacturing (27%), and wholesale (26%). Regionally, Alberta saw the sharpest drop, down 9.9 points to 43.8. Labor market conditions continued to weaken, with more employers planning to cut staff (19%) than hire (12%). Insufficient demand remains the main barrier to business and production expansion, cited by 52% of respondents. Meanwhile, key cost constraints hindering growth are insurance (68%), tax and regulatory expenses (67%), and wage costs (64%).