美联储的洛根：政策定位良好，准备应对不断变化的风险。达拉斯联邦储备银行行长洛里·洛根（Lorie Logan）隔夜表示，随着通胀“逐渐回到目标水平”，劳动力市场“保持强劲”，美联储双重任务的风险“大致平衡”。

Fed's Logan: Policy well positioned, ready to respond to shifting risks.Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said overnight that with inflation “trending gradually back to target”, the labor market “holding strong”, and risks to Fed's dual mandate are “roughly balanced.

美联储戴利：仍需适度或适度限制性政策。旧金山联储主席Mary Daly在接受路透社采访时强调，在劳动力市场“稳健”的情况下，高于目标的通胀仍然是她的“重点”。

Fed's Daly: Modestly or moderately restrictive policy still needed.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, in a Reuters interview, emphasized that above-target inflation remains her “focus” while the labor market is in “solid shape”.

艾略特波浪分析：美元指数（DXY）完成修正，恢复下跌趋势。美元指数（DXY）的短期艾略特波浪分析表明，从2025年1月13日的高点开始的周期正在以脉冲模式展开，其特征是五波结构朝着更大趋势的方向移动。从2025年1月13日的高点开始下跌，始于波浪（1），结束于106.96。

Elliott Wave Analysis: Dollar Index (DXY) Completes Correction, Resumes Downtrend.The short-term Elliott Wave analysis for the Dollar Index (DXY) indicates that the cycle from the January 13, 2025 high is unfolding as an impulse pattern, characterized by a five-wave structure moving in the direction of the larger trend. The decline from the January 13, 2025 high began with wave (1), which concluded at 106.96.

周五，美元指数徘徊在99.4左右，在经历了一个动荡的交易日后趋于稳定，交易员等待美联储首选的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数的公布。该报告可能会提供早期信号，表明关税是否开始加剧价格压力，从而可能影响美联储的下一个政策决定。周四，政府数据证实，美国经济在第一季度出现收缩，这是三年来首次出现负增长，使美联储的利率前景更加复杂。与此同时，旧金山联储的Mary Daly表示，央行今年仍有可能降息两次，但强调了目前保持稳定的重要性，以确保通胀率回到美联储2%的目标。周四，美元最初因联邦法院裁定特朗普总统的互惠关税非法的消息而上涨，随后随着上诉法院恢复这些关税而改变方向，引发了贸易政策的新的不确定性。

The US dollar index hovered around 99.4 on Friday, steadying after a volatile session as traders awaited the release of the PCE price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The report could offer early signals on whether tariffs are beginning to feed into price pressures, potentially influencing the Fed’s next policy decision. On Thursday, government data confirmed the US economy contracted in the first quarter, marking the first negative growth reading in three years, further complicating the Fed's rate outlook. Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed's Mary Daly said the central bank could still cut rates twice this year, but emphasized the importance of holding steady for now to ensure inflation is on track to return to the Fed’s 2% target. On Thursday, the dollar initially rallied on news that a federal court ruled President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs as unlawful, before reversing course as an appeal court reinstated them, stoking fresh uncertainty around trade policy.