investigationLive欧洲市场收市：月末谨慎，美元小幅下跌。更宏观的焦点转向下周的美国就业报告，因此对于交易员和投资者来说，这是一个在为未来一周的主要事件做准备之前谨慎行事的时刻。

investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar down slightly amid month-end caution.The bigger picture focus turns to the US jobs report next week, so it's kind of a tread carefully moment for traders and investors before gearing up to the main event in the week ahead.

欧洲央行的雷恩表示，特朗普对美联储独立性的挑战具有全球风险。欧洲央行政策制定者奥利·雷恩周四在一次演讲中表示，唐纳德·特朗普总统对美联储不断升级的攻击可能会对金融市场和实体经济产生重大的全球连锁反应。

Trump's challenge to Fed independence holds global risk, ECB's Rehn says.President Donald Trump's escalating attacks on the U.S. Federal Reserve could have substantial and global knock-on effects on the financial markets and the real economy, ECB policymaker Olli Rehn said in a speech on Thursday.

美元走软，日元领先，市场关注欧洲央行会议纪要。美国股市隔夜收高，但由于风险情绪依然低迷，亚洲市场周四涨跌互现。英伟达强于预期的收益在收入和利润方面都超过了头条新闻，但未能持续提振风险偏好。

Dollar Softens, Yen Leads as Markets Eye ECB Minutes.U.S. equities closed higher overnight, but Asian markets turned mixed on Thursday as risk sentiment remained muted. Nvidia's stronger-than-expected earnings beat on both revenue and profit dominated headlines but failed to deliver a sustained boost to risk appetite.

周四，10年期美国国债收益率跌至4.23%以下，创下两周新低，因交易员加大了对美联储降息的押注。市场现在认为，9月份降息25个基点的可能性为89%，高于一周前的82%。这一转变发生之际，唐纳德·特朗普总统试图通过罢免美联储理事丽莎·库克，并用一位更温和的候选人取而代之，来扩大他对美联储的影响力。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯周三表示，正在考虑降息，这加剧了鸽派的前景。投资者现在正在等待周五的个人消费支出价格指数——美联储首选的通胀指标——以获得更多信号，而下周的月度就业报告将提供劳动力市场强劲的新数据。

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury fell below 4.23% on Thursday, marking a two-week low as traders boosted bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets now see an 89% chance of a 25 basis point cut in September, up from 82% a week earlier. The shift came as President Donald Trump sought to expand his influence over the central bank by attempting to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook and replace her with a more dovish candidate. Adding to the dovish outlook, New York Fed President John Williams said Wednesday that a rate reduction was under consideration. Investors are now awaiting Friday’s PCE price index — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — for additional signals, while next week’s monthly payrolls report will provide a fresh read on labor market strength.