美元为战斗做准备。过去几周，美联储12月降息的可能性从72%降至48%，这应该会使欧元兑美元陷入淘汰赛。然而，期货市场预计，到周期结束时，联邦基金利率将从目前的3.75%降至3.25%。

Dollar Preparing for Battle.The decline in the chances of a Fed rate cut in December from 72% to 48% over the past couple of weeks should have sent the EURUSD into a knockout. However, the futures market anticipates that by the end of the cycle, the federal funds rate will have fallen to 3.25%, down from its current level of 3.75%.

美联储对降息的谨慎态度支撑美元——BBH。美联储对降息的谨慎态度支撑美元——BBH

USD supported by Fed caution on rate cuts – BBH.USD supported by Fed caution on rate cuts – BBH

美元：全球避险帮助美元——ING。美元：全球避险帮助美元——ING

USD: Global risk-off helping the dollar – ING.USD: Global risk-off helping the dollar – ING

美元几乎没有从风险情绪恶化中获利。昨天没有真正的主导主题来指导更广泛的交易。即使美国政府关门已经停止，市场仍需要时间才能依赖（及时准确的）官方数据。

Dollar Hardly Profits from Deterioration in Risk Sentiment.There was no really dominant theme to guide broader trading yesterday. Even as the US shutdown has halted it still will take time for markets to be able to rely on (timely & accurate) official data.