16:56:52
英国 United Kingdom
英镑跌至1.336美元,为两周低点,受美元走强和英国11月预算前担忧的压力。交易员们担心,为实现财政目标而可能加息可能会对已经脆弱的经济和货币造成压力。财政部长雷切尔·里夫斯将于11月26日公布预算,预计她将重点关注财政纪律,可能是通过提高税收,这与她之前筹集250亿英镑雇主社会缴款的举措相呼应。分析师预计,2025年剩余时间英国经济将温和增长,通胀率将升至4%,是英国央行目标的两倍。市场预计英国央行下一次降息要到明年4月,到2026年底将总共降息两次。英国央行首席经济学家Huw Pill敦促“保守的央行”,强调需要将通胀控制置于增长干预之上,以回应政府与英国央行建立伙伴关系以重振投资的呼吁。
The British pound fell to $1.336, a two-week low, pressured by a stronger dollar and concerns ahead of the UK’s November budget. Traders are wary that potential tax hikes to meet fiscal targets could weigh on the already fragile economy and the currency. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who delivers her budget on November 26, is expected to focus on fiscal discipline, possibly through higher taxes — echoing her previous move that raised £25 billion in employer social contributions. Analysts see modest UK growth for the rest of 2025, with inflation rising to 4%, double the BoE’s target. Markets are not expecting the next BoE rate cut until April next year, with a total of two reductions by end 2026. BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill urged “conservative central banking,” stressing the need to prioritize inflation control over growth interventions, countering calls for a government–BoE partnership to revive investment.