英镑/日元价格预测：下跌近200点，测试202.00。英镑/日元价格预测：下跌近200点，测试202.00

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks nearly 200 pips, tests 202.00.GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks nearly 200 pips, tests 202.00

在伦敦，富时100指数周二上涨51点，涨幅0.52%。领涨的是Airtel Africa（15.96%）、沃达丰（4.70%）和汇丰控股（4.39%）。跌幅最大的是Vistry Group（-2.54%）、Unite Group（-2.28%）和Barratt Redrow（-2.27%）。

In London, the FTSE 100 Index rose 51 points or 0.52 percent on Tuesday. Leading the gains are Airtel Africa (15.96%), Vodafone (4.70%) and HSBC Holdings (4.39%). Top losers were Vistry Group (-2.54%), Unite Group (-2.28%) and Barratt Redrow (-2.27%).

周二，受银行、矿业和国防股强劲上涨的支撑，富时100指数上涨超过0.5%，创下历史新高。汇丰银行在公布强于预期的第三季度业绩并上调盈利前景后，以超过4%的涨幅领涨。罗尔斯·罗伊斯和BAE系统公司也有所上涨，分别上涨了2%和1%以上，因为对航空航天和国防股票的需求保持坚挺。在矿商中，英美资源集团股价上涨超过2%，此前该公司重申了其年度铜产量目标，并报告了剥离戴比尔斯钻石部门的计划进展。嘉能可、弗雷斯尼洛、奋进和安托法加斯塔也上涨了1%-1.5%。Airtel Africa在该指数中名列前茅，在上半年收益大幅增长后飙升了13%以上。英镑走弱进一步提供支撑，提振出口型股票。与此同时，英国零售商协会的最新数据显示，英国食品账单以近五年来最快的速度下降，这增强了人们对英格兰银行即将降息的预期。

The FTSE 100 climbed more than 0.5% to a new record high on Tuesday, supported by strong gains in banks, miners, and defence stocks. HSBC led the rally with a rise of over 4% after posting stronger-than-expected third-quarter results and raising its profitability outlook. Rolls-Royce and BAE Systems also advanced, up more than 2% and 1% respectively, as demand for aerospace and defence stocks remained firm. Among miners, Anglo American gained over 2% after reaffirming its annual copper production target and reporting progress on plans to separate its De Beers diamond division. Glencore, Fresnillo, Endeavour, and Antofagasta also gained 1%-1.5%. Airtel Africa topped the index, soaring more than 13% after a sharp increase in first-half earnings. A weaker pound added further support, boosting exporter-heavy stocks. Meanwhile, fresh data from the BRC showed UK food bills falling at the fastest pace in nearly five years, reinforcing expectations of upcoming Bank of England rate cuts.

英国10年期国债收益率跌至4.4%以下，为2024年12月以来的最低水平，因为市场对英格兰银行降息的预期增加。此前有报道称，预算责任办公室正准备将英国生产率增长预测下调约0.3个百分点，这一下调可能会使财政缺口扩大约200亿英镑。这一修订加剧了人们对财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯11月预算的担忧，预计该预算将解决高达350亿英镑的潜在缺口。疲软的通胀数据强化了市场情绪的转变，最近的数据显示，食品价格有所缓解，整体CPI的降温幅度超过预期。交易员们现在认为，12月降息25个基点的可能性约为68%，因为通胀和财政逆风减弱为央行提供了更多放松政策的空间。

The UK 10-year gilt yield fell below 4.4%, the lowest since December 2024, as markets ramped up expectations for Bank of England rate cuts. The move followed reports that the Office for Budget Responsibility is preparing to lower its UK productivity growth forecast by about 0.3 percentage points, a downgrade that could widen the fiscal gap by roughly £20 billion. The revision has heightened concerns ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s November budget, which is expected to address a potential shortfall of up to £35 billion. Softer inflation data have reinforced the shift in sentiment, with recent figures showing food prices easing and overall CPI cooling more than expected. Traders now see around a 68% probability of a quarter-point rate cut in December, as weaker inflation and fiscal headwinds give the Bank more room to ease policy.