2025年7月，泰国工业生产同比下降3.98%，降幅超过市场预期的1.1%，这是自2月以来的首次收缩。4月，工业部将2025年工业增长预测下调至0%-1%，低于此前预测的1.5%-2.5%，理由是美国贸易政策的不确定性和家庭债务的增加是主要的不利因素。

Thailand’s industrial production declined by 3.98% year-on-year in July 2025, falling more sharply than market expectations of a 1.1% drop and marking the first contraction since February. In April, the Industry Ministry lowered its 2025 industrial growth forecast to a range of 0%–1%, down from an earlier projection of 1.5%–2.5%, citing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy and elevated household debt as key headwinds.

泰国央行8月13日政策会议纪要周三显示，泰国的货币政策应保持宽松以支持经济，宽松不会显著增加金融稳定风险。“与此同时，重要的是要确保宏观金融稳定，同时考虑到有限的政策空间。”在会议上，货币政策委员会一致投票决定将一日回购利率下调25个基点，至近三年低点1.50%。8月份的削减是10个月来的第四次削减，以支持疲软的经济，应对美国关税和旅游业疲软。央行预计，2025年经济将增长约2.3%，2026年将增长1.7%，低于2024年的2.5%。最近的数据显示，今年上半年泰国经济增长了3%。另外，据路透社报道，泰国财政部副部长周三表示，泰国央行有进一步降息的空间。

Thailand’s monetary policy should remain accommodative to support the economy, and an easing would not significantly increase financial stability risks, the minutes of the Bank of Thailand’s (BoT) August 13 policy meeting showed on Wednesday. “At the same time, it was important to ensure macro-financial stability, while taking into account the limited policy space.” At the meeting, the monetary policy committee voted unanimously to cut the one-day repurchase rate by 25 bps to a near three-year low of 1.50%. The August cut was the fourth reduction in 10 months to support a sluggish economy grappling with US tariffs and softer tourism. The central bank expects the economy to grow by around 2.3% in 2025 and 1.7% in 2026, down from 2.5% in 2024. Recent data showed that Thailand's economy expanded by 3% in the first half of this year. Separately, a deputy finance minister said on Wednesday that there is room for Thailand's central bank to cut interest rates further, Reuters reported.

泰国旅游部周二表示，2025年1月1日至8月24日，泰国外国游客人数同比下降7.14%。在此期间，约有2137万外国游客，其中中国仍然是最大的客源市场，贡献了303万游客。上周，国家规划局将2025年外国游客总人数的预测从3700万人下调至3300万人。2019年，在疫情之前，泰国记录了近4000万游客。最近的数据显示，泰国经济在2025年第二季度同比增长2.8%，低于第一季度的3.2%。由于入境旅游下降和国内旅游放缓，住宿和餐饮服务业急剧减速，与第一季度的7.2%相比仅增长2.1%。第二季度外国游客713.6万人次，下降12.2%。与此同时，国内旅游业增长2.1%，低于第一季度的2.6%。

Thailand's foreign tourist arrivals from January 1 to August 24, 2025, dropped by 7.14% compared to the same period a year earlier, the Tourism Ministry said on Tuesday. About 21.37 million foreign visitors were recorded during the period, with China remaining the largest source market, contributing 3.03 million arrivals. Last week, the state planning agency cut its forecast for total foreign tourist arrivals in 2025 to 33 million, down from 37 million. In 2019, before the pandemic, Thailand recorded nearly 40 million visitors. Recent data showed the Thai economy grew by 2.8% yoy in Q2 2025, easing from 3.2% in Q1. The accommodation and food services sector saw a sharp deceleration, expanding just 2.1% compared to 7.2% in Q1, due to a decline in inbound tourism and a slowdown in domestic travel. The number of foreign tourists in Q2 was 7.136 million, a drop of 12.2%. Meanwhile, domestic tourism rose by 2.1%, down from 2.6% growth in Q1.

2025年7月，泰国进口额同比增长5.1%，达到282.6亿美元，尽管超过了市场预期的4.9%，但与上月13.1%的增长相比大幅放缓。尽管这是购买量连续第14个月增长，但最新数据是自2月以来最慢的增长，因为有更广泛的迹象表明贸易势头正在降温。资本货物（23.2%）、原材料、半成品（11.3%）、消费品（5.5%）、运输设备（2.1%）和其他（7.8%）的采购量上升，但燃料产品的采购量下降（-35.4%）。按商品分类，进口增长的商品包括电机及零部件（49.7%）、电路板（5.1%）、机械（12.3%）、珠宝、宝石、白银（80.3%）、其他金属矿石、废金属及制品（9.0%）、钢铁（17.5%）和计算机及零部件（12.2%）。相比之下，原油（-44.6%）、化学品（-8.1%）和植物、植物产品（-0.8%）的到货量有所下降。今年前七个月，进口额增长10.6%，达到1951.7亿美元。

Imports to Thailand rose 5.1% yoy to USD 28.26 billion in July 2025, sharply slowing from a 13.1% growth in the previous month despite topping market estimates of 4.9%. While marking the 14th straight month of increase in purchases, the latest reading was the slowest gain since February amid broader signs of cooling trade momentum. Purchases rose for capital goods (23.2%), raw materials, semi-finished products (11.3%), consumer goods (5.5%), transport equipment (2.1%), and others (7.8%), but fell for fuel products (-35.4%). By commodity, imports grew for electrical machinery & components (49.7%), circuit board (5.1%), machinery (12.3%), jewelry, gems, silver (80.3%), other metal ores, scrap metal and products (9.0%), iron and steel (17.5%), and computers and components (12.2%). In contrast, arrivals shrank for crude oil (-44.6%), chemicals (-8.1%), and plants, plant products (-0.8%). For the first seven months of the year, imports increased by 10.6% to USD 195.17 billion.