在2025年10月的政策会议上，泰国央行将基准利率维持在1.5%不变，打破了市场对降至1.25%的预期，并保持在2023年2月以来的最低水平。目前预计2025年的总体通胀率为0%，2026年为0.5%，预计到2027年初将逐步恢复到央行1%-3%的目标区间。预计2025年和2026年的核心通胀率将稳定在0.9%。2025年9月，泰国消费者价格同比下降0.72%，标志着连续第六个月出现通货紧缩，仍远低于央行的目标区间。与此同时，泰国的国内生产总值预计在2025年和2026年分别增长2.2%和1.6%。2025年第二季度，该国经济同比增长2.8%，是2024年第二季以来最慢的增长速度。最后，货币政策委员会重申了其宽松立场，并表示准备根据不断变化的经济和通胀状况调整政策。

The Bank of Thailand kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.5% during its October 2025 policy meeting, defying market expectations of a cut to 1.25% and remaining at its lowest level since February 2023. Headline inflation is now forecast at 0% in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026, with a gradual return to the central bank’s 1%–3% target band anticipated by early 2027. The core inflation rate is expected to remain stable at 0.9% in both 2025 and 2026. Consumer prices in Thailand declined by 0.72% year-on-year in September 2025, marking the sixth consecutive month of deflation and remaining well below the central bank’s target range. Meanwhile, Thailand’s GDP is projected to grow by 2.2% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. The country's economy expanded by 2.8% year-on-year in Q2 2025, representing the slowest pace of growth since Q2 2024. Finally, the MPC reaffirmed its accommodative stance and signaled its readiness to adjust policy in response to evolving economic and inflation conditions.

泰国商会大学的消费者信心指数从8月份的近三年低点50.1上升到2025年9月的50.7，这是八个月来的首次增长。在可能提前举行选举之前，总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔的新政府在全球逆风和财政空间紧张的情况下推出了一系列支持措施，以振兴经济，随后出现了反弹。这一增长也恰逢美国将泰国进口关税从36%降至19%，尽管通过泰国转运的关税仍存在不确定性。第二季度，东南亚经济同比增长2.8%，超过了2.5%的普遍预期，尽管与第一季度3.2%的涨幅相比有所缓和。国家规划机构预测，2025年的增长率将在1.8%至2.3%之间，低于去年的2.5%，原因是旅游相关服务持续疲软。

The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce’s consumer confidence index rose to 50.7 in September 2025 from August's near three-year low of 50.1, marking the first increase in eight months. The rebound followed a wave of support measures rolled out by Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s new administration to revive the economy amid global headwinds and tight fiscal space, ahead of potential early elections. The upturn also coincided with a U.S. tariff cut on Thai imports to 19% from 36%, though uncertainty lingers over duties on transshipments routed through Thailand. In Q2, the Southeast Asian economy expanded 2.8% yoy, beating the consensus of 2.5% despite easing from a 3.2% advance in Q1. The state planning agency forecasts the 2025 growth between 1.8% and 2.3%, down from 2.5% last year, citing persistent weakness in tourism-related services.

泰国启动了“泰国资本市场吸引力倡议”，旨在增强投资者信心，并将该国定位为区域融资中心。该计划由财政部、证券交易委员会、泰国证券交易所和行业机构联合宣布，旨在简化股票上市程序，简化IPO和外国上市流程，吸引高质量公司扭转资本外流。泰国基准指数今年下跌了7%以上，是亚洲主要市场中最弱的，外国投资者撤出了约29亿美元。美国证券交易委员会秘书长Pornanong Budsaratragoon表示，该倡议反映了政府和私营部门为加强结构竞争力和支持长期增长所做的协调努力。该计划的下一阶段将扩展到债券市场、投资单位和数字金融。

Thailand has launched the “Thai Capital Market Attractiveness Initiative,” aimed at boosting investor confidence and positioning the country as a regional fundraising hub. Announced jointly by the finance ministry, the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Stock Exchange of Thailand, and industry bodies, the plan seeks to simplify stock-listing procedures, streamline IPO and foreign listing processes, and attract high-quality companies to reverse capital outflows. Thailand’s benchmark index has fallen over 7% this year, the weakest among major Asian markets, as foreign investors pulled out around USD 2.9 billion. SEC Secretary-General Pornanong Budsaratragoon said the initiative reflects a coordinated government–private sector effort to strengthen structural competitiveness and support long-term growth. The program’s next phase will extend to bond markets, investment units, and digital finance.

2025年9月，泰国消费者价格同比下降0.72%，降幅大于市场预期的0.60%，此前8月份下降了0.79%。这标志着连续第六个月出现通货紧缩，通货膨胀率远低于央行1%-3%的目标范围。与此同时，9月份核心消费者价格指数上涨0.65%，低于预期的0.76%的涨幅，增速低于8月份的0.81%，达到去年8月以来的最低水平。

Consumer prices in Thailand fell 0.72% year-on-year in September 2025, a sharper decline than market expectations of a 0.60% drop and following a 0.79% decrease in August. It marked the sixth straight month of deflation, keeping inflation well below the central bank’s 1%–3% target range. Meanwhile, core consumer prices rose 0.65% in September, smaller than forecasts of a 0.76% increase and slowing from a 0.81% gain in August, hitting its lowest rate since August last year.