瑞典央行在2025年3月将政策利率维持在2.25%,符合预期,理由是通胀和经济增长前景基本不变。政策制定者指出,预计今年剩余时间通货膨胀率将保持在目标之上,但到2026年应稳定在2%左右。与此同时,在实际工资上涨、利息支出下降以及国防和政府支出增加的支持下,瑞典经济正在复苏。然而,风险依然存在,包括全球发展、克朗汇率、美国贸易冲突升级、欧洲地缘政治紧张局势以及家庭支出和企业投资的变化。瑞典央行重申了其稳定的利率前景,但如果通胀偏离,仍准备调整政策,预计随着货币政策支持稳定,将逐步恢复到目标水平。
The Swedish Riksbank kept its policy rate at 2.25% in March 2025, in line with expectations, citing a largely unchanged outlook for inflation and economic growth. Policymakers noted that inflation is expected to remain above target for the rest of the year but should stabilize near 2% in 2026. Meanwhile, Sweden’s economy is recovering, supported by rising real wages, lower interest expenses, and increased defense and government spending. However, risks persist, including global developments, the krona exchange rate, escalating US trade conflicts, geopolitical tensions in Europe, and shifts in household spending and corporate investment. The Riksbank reaffirmed its stable rate outlook but remains ready to adjust policy if inflation deviates, expecting a gradual return to target as monetary policy supports stability.