2024年第四季度,俄罗斯国内生产总值同比增长4.5%,高于前一时期上调后的3.3%。这标志着三个季度以来最快的扩张,这得益于乌克兰冲突的战时支出,这导致了经济过热,并使年通货膨胀率超过10%。从行业来看,批发和零售贸易(第三季度为4.9%对3.3%)、运输和仓储(2.2%对1.5%)、信息通信技术(13.7%对12.8%)以及金融和保险活动(16.9%对16%)的增长有所回升。与此同时,俄罗斯国家统计局将2024年GDP增长预测从4.1%上调至4.3%,理由是建筑活动增强,该行业的估计上调了2.5个百分点至4.2%。
Russia’s GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2024, accelerating from an upwardly revised 3.3% in the previous period. This marks the fastest expansion in three quarters, fueled by wartime spending on the conflict in Ukraine, which has contributed to an overheated economy and pushed annual inflation above 10%. Sector-wise, growth picked up in wholesale and retail trade (4.9% vs 3.3% in Q3), transportation and storage (2.2% vs 1.5%), ICT (13.7% vs 12.8%), and financial and insurance activities (16.9% vs 16%). Meanwhile, Russia’s state statistics agency, Rosstat, raised its 2024 GDP growth forecast to 4.3% from 4.1%, citing stronger construction activity, with the sector’s estimate revised up by 2.5 percentage points to 4.2%.