1月份,MOEX俄罗斯指数升至2875,为五个月来的最高水平,以保持俄罗斯央行意外决定不延长加息周期引发的12月以来的飙升。此前有报道称,CBR行长Nabiullina会见了警告央行不要警告利率的政界人士和商界领袖。尽管通胀率保持在21%,但央行提高了通胀预测,市场预计通胀率在年底将达到近两年的高点。这一持有促使权重股俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行、俄罗斯石油公司和卢克石油公司从12月中旬的近18个月低点大幅反弹。另一方面,俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司在今年年初从俄罗斯通过乌克兰向欧洲输送天然气后,仍相对接近历史低点。此外,石油和燃料的主要海运出口商Surgut和Gazpromneft在受到美国制裁后,自1月初以来出现了大幅亏损。
The MOEX Russia Index rose to 2,875 in January, the highest level in five months, to hold the surge from December triggered by the Bank of Russia’s unexpected decision to not extend its interest rate hiking cycle. The decision preceded reports that CBR Governor Nabiullina met with politicians and business leaders that have warned the central bank against warning interest rates. Despite the hold at 21%, the central bank raised inflation forecasts, and markets expect the inflation rate to have reached a near two-year high at the end of the year. The hold drove heavyweights Sberbank, Rosneft, and Lukoil to rebound sharply from their near 18-month lows from the mid-December. On the other hand, Gazprom remained relatively close to its record low after gas flows from Russia to Europe through Ukraine at the turn of the year. Also, Surgut and Gazpromneft, major seaborne exporters for oil and fuel, recorded sharp losses since the start of January after being sanctioned by the US.