新西兰股市周三早盘下跌44点，跌幅0.3%，至12870点，结束了前三个交易日的涨势。此前，华尔街道琼斯指数出现了自1978年以来最长的连跌，这是在美联储今天晚些时候普遍预期的利率决定之前。在未来几天新西兰第三季度GDP公布之前，交易员采取了谨慎的立场。预计经济将环比收缩0.4%，可能陷入衰退。进一步的损失得到了遏制，因为当地数据显示，在过去几年普遍悲观之后，这个太平洋国家的消费者情绪在2024年第四季度达到了三年来的最高点。与此同时，新西兰的经常账户赤字在第三季度略有收窄，与市场估计的105.8亿新西兰元一致。耐用消费品对NZX 50构成沉重压力，同时生产者制造业和零售业也出现下滑。第三年龄健康服务下降3.9%，紧随其后的是Vista Group Intl.（-2.0%）和Gentrack Group有限公司（-1.5%）。

Shares in New Zealand fell 44 points or 0.3% to 12,870 during Wednesday's morning session, ending gains in the previous three sessions. The decline followed Wall Street's Dow Jones posting its longest losing streak since 1978, ahead of the US Fed's widely anticipated rate decision later today. Traders adopted a cautious stance ahead of New Zealand's Q3 GDP release in the coming days. The economy is forecast to contract by 0.4% qoq, potentially in recession. Further losses were curbed as local data showed that consumer mood in the Pacific nation reached a three-year high in Q4 of 2024, after widespread pessimism over the past few years. Meantime, New Zealand's current account deficit narrowed slightly in Q3, aligning with market estimates at NZD 10.58 billion. Consumer durables weighed heavily on the NZX 50, along with declines in producer manufacturing and retail trade. Third Age Health Services fell by 3.9%, followed by Vista Group Intl. (-2.0%), and Gentrack Group Ltd. (-1.5%).

新西兰西太平洋银行麦克德莫特·米勒消费者信心指数从上一时期的90.8上升到2024年第四季度的97.5，达到2021年12月以来的最高水平。这一增长归因于金融压力的缓解、通货膨胀的降低和抵押贷款利率的下降。然而，尽管酒店业的支出有所增加，但大多数家庭仍然保持谨慎，尤其是在购买高价商品方面。随着南岛各地的改善，高收入群体的信心增长最为明显。虽然整体情绪更加乐观，但低收入家庭仍对财务状况感到担忧。

The Westpac McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence Index in New Zealand increased to 97.5 in the fourth quarter of 2024, from 90.8 in the prior period, marking the highest level since December 2021. This increase is attributed to easing financial pressures, lower inflation, and declining mortgage rates. However, most households remain cautious, particularly about big-ticket purchases, despite increased spending in hospitality. Confidence rose most among higher-income groups, with improvements across the South Island. While overall sentiment is more upbeat, lower-income households remain concerned about finances.

2024年9月季度，新西兰的经常账户赤字从去年同期的112.2亿新西兰元收窄至105.8亿新西兰元，与市场预期相符。商品余额赤字从第二季度的58亿新西兰元缩减至46亿新西兰元，初级收入赤字从37亿新西兰元降至35亿新西兰元。然而，服务账户赤字从14亿新西兰元扩大到20亿新西兰元，二级收入差距从1亿新西兰元增加到3亿新西兰元。截至2024年9月30日，新西兰的年度经常账户赤字总计270亿新西兰元（占国内生产总值的6.4%），而截至2024年6月30日的年度赤字为276亿新西兰元，占国内生产总额的6.6%。

New Zealand's current account deficit narrowed to NZD 10.58 billion in the September quarter of 2024, down from NZD 11.22 billion in the same period the previous year, matching market expectations. The goods balance deficit shrank to NZD 4.6 billion from NZD 5.8 billion in Q2, and the primary income deficit fell to NZD 3.5 billion from NZD 3.7 billion. However, the services account deficit widened to NZD 2 billion from NZD 1.4 billion, and the secondary income gap increased to NZD 0.3 billion from NZD 0.1 billion. For the year ending September 30, 2024, New Zealand's annual current account deficit totaled NZD 27.0 billion (6.4% of GDP), compared to NZD 27.6 billion (6.6% of GDP) for the year ending June 30, 2024.

新西兰数据：第三季度经常账户106亿新西兰元（预计-105亿）。经常账户是衡量一个国家国际金融互动的最全面指标。它不仅包括商品和服务的交换，还包括外国投资的收益和新西兰境内外国投资的支付。

New Zealand data: Q3 Current Account 10.6bn NZD (expected -10.5bn).The current account represents the most comprehensive gauge of a nation's international financial interactions. It encapsulates not just the exchange of goods and services, but also earnings from foreign investments and payments made on investments from abroad within NZ.