新西兰基准标准普尔/NZX 50指数周三上涨0.2%，收于13307点，结束了连续三天的下跌，因为广泛的行业上涨提振了市场。新西兰储备银行首席经济学家Paul Conway重申，尽管政策制定者在做出任何决定之前将等待经济数据，但央行仍对进一步降息持开放态度，市场情绪有所改善。在全球范围内，市场受到美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的言论的支持，他表示，尽管通货膨胀持续存在，但由于劳动力市场疲软，本月可能会降息。然而，持续的美中贸易紧张局势使一些投资者保持谨慎，抑制了更广泛的涨幅。在企业方面，Scales Corporation的股价飙升4.2%，此前该农业综合企业集团上调了25财年的盈利预期。

New Zealand's benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index rose 0.2% to close at 13,307 on Wednesday, ending a three-day losing streak as broad-based sector gains lifted the market. Sentiment improved after Reserve Bank of New Zealand Chief Economist Paul Conway reaffirmed that the central bank remains open to further interest rate cuts, although policymakers will wait for economic data before making any decisions. Globally, markets were supported by remarks from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who indicated that an interest-rate reduction is likely this month due to weakness in the labour market, despite persistent inflation. However, ongoing US–China trade tensions kept some investors cautious, tempering broader gains. On the corporate front, shares of Scales Corporation surged 4.2% after the agribusiness group raised its earnings guidance for FY25.

标准普尔确认对新西兰的信用评级。标准普尔确认对新西兰的信用评级

S&P affirms credit rating to New Zealand.S&P affirms credit rating to New Zealand

周三，新西兰元微涨至0.572美元，但仍接近上一交易日触及的六个月低点，投资者消化了新西兰储备银行首席经济学家保罗·康威的言论。Conway指出，目前2.5%的官方现金利率处于央行中性区间的下限，但他强调，如果需要，央行仍对进一步宽松持开放态度。他补充说，政策制定者更愿意在做出决定之前等待经济数据。美国和中国之间的紧张局势再次加剧，给全球市场注入了新的不确定性，并削弱了风险偏好，这给人民币带来了压力。然而，在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔暗示今年将再次降息后，新西兰元从美元疲软中获得了一些支撑，理由是尽管通胀持续存在，但劳动力市场疲软。

The New Zealand dollar edged up to $0.572 on Wednesday but remained near a six-month low reached in the previous session, as investors digested Reserve Bank of New Zealand Chief Economist Paul Conway’s remarks. Conway noted that the current official cash rate of 2.5% is at the lower end of the central bank’s neutral range but emphasized that the central bank remains open to further easing if needed. He added that policymakers prefer to wait for economic data before making a decision. Adding pressure on the currency, renewed tensions between the US and China injected fresh uncertainty into global markets and dented risk appetite. However, the kiwi found some support from a weaker US dollar after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at another rate cut this year, citing softness in the labor market despite persistent inflation.

新西兰储备银行（RBNZ）首席经济学家Paul Conway表示，2.5%的官方现金利率（OCR）处于中性区间的下限，但货币政策委员会在必要时仍对进一步降息持开放态度。RBNZ上周将OCR削减了50个基点，使自2024年8月以来的总降幅达到300个基点。据路透社报道，他在接受彭博电视台采访时表示，鉴于通胀率仍接近新西兰储备银行1%至3%目标区间的顶部，降息50个基点的决定“非常平衡”。他指出，经济中的闲置产能让政策制定者相信，随着时间的推移，通货膨胀将逐渐恢复到2%的中点。Conway还指出，NZIER最近的一项调查显示，第三季度商业情绪恶化，并表示这加强了新西兰储备银行对支持性货币政策必要性的看法。虽然该行对进一步降息持开放态度，但他强调，政策制定者将等待评估即将公布的经济数据，然后再做出进一步决定。

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Chief Economist Paul Conway said the official cash rate (OCR) of 2.5% is at the lower end of the neutral range, but the MPC remains open to further rate cuts if necessary. RBNZ slashed OCR by 50 bps last week, bringing the total reduction to 300 bps since August 2024. Speaking to Bloomberg TV, as reported by Reuters, he said the decision to cut by 50 bps was “very finely balanced,” given that inflation remains near the top of the RBNZ’s 1% to 3% target band. He noted that spare capacity in the economy gave policymakers confidence that inflation would gradually return to the 2% midpoint over time. Conway also pointed to a recent survey by the NZIER, which showed business sentiment worsened in Q3, saying it had reinforced the RBNZ's view on the need for supportive monetary policy. While the bank is open to further interest rate cuts, he emphasized that policymakers will wait to assess incoming economic data before making additional decisions.