美元/日元–2025年9月15日。美元兑日元保持在145.70的旧支撑位之上，并在上周四再次反弹至148.20。145.70至149.15之间的交易区仍如预期般支撑着市场。

USD/JPY –15.09.2025.  USDJPY held above the old support at 145.70 and managed to hit a rebound again towards 148.20 last Thursday. This trading zone between 145.70 and 149.15 is still holding the market as expected.

周一，日元兑美元汇率升至147.5左右，收复了上周的部分失地，因为市场将注意力转向了日本央行的政策会议。人们普遍预计日本央行将把利率稳定在0.5%，因为官员们正在权衡国内逆风和全球风险，包括美国关税的影响。交易员们也在等待新的贸易数据，预计进出口将保持低迷，以及通胀数据，核心CPI预计将放缓至2.7%，为2024年11月以来的最低水平。从外部来看，预计美联储本周将降息25个基点，最近的美国数据表明劳动力状况疲软，通胀放缓。与此同时，由于日本投资者庆祝国庆节，交易量可能仍然很小。

The yen strengthened to around 147.5 per dollar on Monday, recovering part of last week’s losses as markets turned their focus to the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting. The BOJ is widely expected to leave rates steady at 0.5% as officials weigh domestic headwinds and global risks, including the effects of US tariffs. Traders also await fresh trade data, with both exports and imports projected to stay subdued, as well as inflation figures, where core CPI is forecast to slow to 2.7%, the lowest since November 2024. Externally, the Federal Reserve is anticipated to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut this week, with recent US data signaling softer labor conditions and muted inflation. Meanwhile, trading volumes are likely to remain light as Japanese investors observe a national holiday.

日元展望：美元/日元在美联储和日本央行之前被困在区间内。美元/日元进入本周区间波动，但保持微妙平衡，央行风险将决定下一步走势。相关性显示，该货币对几乎完全跟踪美联储的定价，突显了美国利率预期的主导地位，而风险情绪几乎没有表现出来。

Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY trapped in range ahead of Fed and BOJ.USD/JPY enters the week rangebound but finely balanced, with central bank risk set to decide the next move. Correlations show the pair is tracking Fed pricing almost exclusively, underscoring how dominant U.S. rate expectations have become while risk sentiment barely registers.

日元每周预测：美联储和日本央行的信号会让美元/日元突破150吗？。随着美联储利率决定和日本央行前景的冲突，市场关注美元/日元；通货膨胀、贸易和政治加剧了人们对近期方向的猜测。

Japanese Yen Weekly Forecast: Will USD/JPY Break 150 on Fed and BoJ Signals?.Markets eye USD/JPY as the Fed rate decision and BoJ outlook collide; inflation, trade, and politics fuel speculation on near-term direction.