国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二上调了对印度2025-26财年(2026财年)经济增长的预测,理由是全球经济形势更加有利。国际货币基金组织将其对印度2026财年的增长预测从4月份的6.2%上调至6.4%,上调了20个基点。该机构还将其对2027财年的预测上调了10个基点,至6.4%。国际货币基金组织在其《世界经济展望》报告中表示,印度的增长前景反映了比4月份参考预测中假设的更为有利的外部环境。它将2025财年的增长预期维持在6.5%,突显出尽管全球面临逆风,经济依然强劲。另外,据《经济时报》报道,周一,财政部6月份的《月度经济评论》提到,就26财年而言,经济看起来和感觉都是“稳步前进”的。与此同时,印度储备银行的专业预测者调查预测,2026财年的GDP增长率在6.2%至6.5%之间。
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday upgraded its fiscal year 2025–26 (FY 2026) economic growth forecasts for India, citing a more favourable global economic situation. The IMF revised its growth forecast for India to 6.4% for FY 2026, up 20 bps from the 6.2% it had projected in April. The agency also revised its forecast for FY 2027 by 10 bps to 6.4%. In its World Economic Outlook report, the IMF said that India’s growth outlook reflects a more benign external environment than assumed in the April reference forecast. It maintained its FY 2025 growth estimate at 6.5%, underscoring the economy’s strength despite global headwinds. Separately, on Monday, the Finance Ministry’s Monthly Economic Review for June mentioned that the economy has the look and feel of “steady as she goes” as far as FY26 is concerned, as The Economic Times reported. Meanwhile, the RBI’s Survey of Professional Forecasters projected GDP growth rates for FY 2026 in the range of 6.2% to 6.5%.