10年期印度G-Sec的收益率约为6.6%,为2022年1月初以来的最低水平,因为交易员在唐纳德·特朗普总统宣布关税之前的不确定性中寻求避险资产。与此同时,大规模外资流入的恢复、印度储备银行近几个月来激进的流动性注入以及全球央行的鸽派立场都在提振投资者对地方债务的需求。与此同时,印度储备银行在2月份首次降息以推动经济增长,2月份低于预期的通胀支持了今年进一步降息的前景。根据路透社的一项民意调查,印度储备银行可能会在4月9日连续第二次降息,预计8月将再降息一次,这将是有史以来最短的宽松周期。
The yield on the 10-year Indian G-Sec was around 6.6%, its lowest level since early January 2022, as traders sought safe-haven assets amid uncertainty ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcements. At the same time, the resumption of massive foreign inflows, the RBI's aggressive liquidity infusion in recent months, and the dovish stance of global central banks have all been boosting investor demand for local debt. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India delivered its first rate cut in over four years in February to push growth, and lower-than-expected inflation in February supported the outlook for further rate cuts this year. The RBI will likely cut interest rates for a second straight meeting on April 9, with just one more cut expected in August, which would mark the shortest easing cycle on record, according to a Reuters poll.