德国10年期国债收益率降至2.5%,接近5月7日以来的最低点,此前欧元区通胀数据低于预期,加强了对本周晚些时候欧洲央行降息25个基点的押注,这可能是暂停前的最后一步宽松措施。欧元区5月消费者价格通胀率从4月的2.2%降至1.9%,低于预期的2.0%,这是自2024年9月以来首次低于欧洲央行的目标。此外,服务业通胀降至2022年3月以来的最低水平,而核心通胀达到2022年1月以来的最低点。与此同时,在经合组织下调全球增长预测、荷兰政府崩溃后政治动荡加剧以及贸易不确定性持续存在的情况下,市场情绪仍然低迷。
The yield on the German 10-year Bund dropped to 2.5%, nearing its lowest point since May 7, after Eurozone inflation data came in softer than expected, strengthening bets on a 25 basis point ECB rate cut later this week—likely the final easing step before a pause. Eurozone consumer price inflation eased to 1.9% in May, down from 2.2% in April and below the anticipated 2.0%, marking its first dip beneath the ECB’s target since September 2024. Additionally, services inflation fell to its lowest level since March 2022, while core inflation reached its lowest point since January 2022. Meanwhile, market sentiment remained subdued amid the OECD’s downgraded global growth forecast, heightened political turmoil in the Netherlands following the government’s collapse, and ongoing trade uncertainties.