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The CAC 40 index fell 0.7% at close to 7,537 on Monday, its lowest since late April, as markets reacted to a sharp escalation in Middle East tensions.The fall came on the back of US airstrikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities, marking direct US involvement in the conflict between Israel and Iran. This action surprised the markets, which had expected a diplomatic approach based on Trump's previous statements. In response, the Iranian parliament passed a motion to close the Strait of Hormuz, and a warning of potential threats against American personnel and retaliation. To add to the pressure, provisional PMI data revealed a further contraction in the French private sector in June, with the services and manufacturing sectors falling further into contraction territory. On the corporate front, losses were widespread, led by Air Liquide (-2.6%), SocGen (-2.0%) and Kering (-2.0%), while Engie (1.1%) and Teleperformance (1.0%) posted modest gain.

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In Paris, the CAC 40 Index fell 52 points or 0.68 percent on Monday. Leading the losses are Air Liquide (-2.33%), Stellantis NV (-2.27%) and Teleperformance SE (-1.80%). Top gainers were ENGIE (1.04%), Vivendi (0.69%) and Edenred (0.66%).

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France’s 10-year government bond yield hovered around 3.2% as investors remained focused on mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, ongoing inflation risks, and the outlook for monetary policy. The situation escalated after the US joined the conflict and launched airstrikes on Iran, fueling concerns over a possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial artery for global oil transport, which could push oil prices higher. Economically, flash PMIs delivered mixed signals: private sector activity in the Euro Area showed signs of stabilizing, with Germany returning to growth, while France posted a deeper contraction. At the same time, markets continue to expect a 25-basis-point rate cut by the European Central Bank in September, which would reduce the key deposit rate to 1.75%.

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France’s 10-year government bond yield hovered around 3.2% as investors remained focused on mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, ongoing inflation risks, and the outlook for monetary policy. The situation escalated after the US joined the conflict and launched airstrikes on Iran, fueling concerns over a possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial artery for global oil transport, which could push oil prices higher. Economically, flash PMIs delivered mixed signals: private sector activity in the Euro Area showed signs of stabilizing, with Germany returning to growth, while France posted a deeper contraction. At the same time, markets continue to expect a 25-basis-point rate cut by the European Central Bank in September, which would reduce the key deposit rate to 1.75%.