据初步估计,2025年5月,欧元区消费者价格通胀率从4月的2.2%降至1.9%,低于市场预期的2.0%。这标志着自2024年9月以来,通胀率首次降至欧洲央行2.0%的目标以下,强化了本周晚些时候降息25个基点的预期,这可能是当前宽松周期暂停之前的最后一步。减速的一个关键驱动因素是服务业通胀大幅放缓,从4月份的4.0%降至3.2%,为2022年3月以来的最低水平。能源价格继续下跌,同比下降3.6%,而非能源工业品的通货膨胀率稳定在0.6%。相比之下,食品、酒类和烟草价格加速上涨,上涨3.3%,而前一个月为3.0%。与此同时,不包括波动较大的食品和能源成分的核心通胀率降至2.3%,为2022年1月以来的最低水平。
Eurozone consumer price inflation eased to 1.9% year-on-year in May 2025, down from 2.2% in April and below market expectations of 2.0%, according to a preliminary estimate. This marks the first time inflation has fallen below the European Central Bank’s 2.0% target since September 2024, reinforcing expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut later this week—likely the final move before a pause in the current easing cycle. A key driver of the deceleration was a sharp slowdown in services inflation, which dropped to 3.2% from 4.0% in April, its lowest level since March 2022. Energy prices continued to decline, falling by 3.6% year-on-year, while inflation for non-energy industrial goods held steady at 0.6%. In contrast, prices for food, alcohol, and tobacco accelerated, rising 3.3% compared with 3.0% the previous month. Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, slipped to 2.3%, the lowest reading since January 2022.