周三,中国10年期政府债券收益率徘徊在1.76%左右的两个月低点附近,投资者被中国人民银行放松货币政策的预期所吸引。市场预计,在美中贸易紧张局势带来的风险下,央行将在年底前下调基准利率和存款准备金率,以支持经济。在最近的事态发展中,唐纳德·特朗普总统对与北京达成有利协议表示乐观,但承认可能不会与习近平主席举行计划中的会晤。同样,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特和中国副总理何立峰将于本周末在马来西亚会晤,讨论关键问题,包括中国的稀土出口限制和特朗普的关税威胁。与此同时,投资者正密切关注中国共产党第四次全体会议的潜在政策信号。
China’s 10-year government bond yield hovered near a two-month low of around 1.76% on Wednesday, as investors were drawn by growing expectations of monetary policy easing by the People’s Bank of China. Markets expect the central bank to cut both the benchmark interest rate and the reserve requirement ratio before year-end to support the economy amid risks from US-China trade tensions. In recent developments, President Donald Trump voiced optimism about a favorable deal with Beijing but acknowledged that a planned meeting with President Xi Jinping may not happen. Similarly, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will meet in Malaysia this weekend to discuss key issues, including China’s rare earth export restrictions and Trump’s tariff threats. Meanwhile, investors are closely watching the Chinese Communist Party’s Fourth Plenum for potential policy signals.