欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——周五早盘美元涨跌互现。周五白天，美元有点涨跌互现，因为从经济角度来看，我们继续看到很多噪音。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Mixed in Early Friday Trading.The US dollar has been a bit mixed during the day on Friday as we continue to see a lot of noise from an economic standpoint.

澳元/日元价格预测：在96.00秒左右的下行通道阻力附近失败。澳元/日元交叉盘建立在前一天从95.35-95.30区域（或超过一周低点）的后期反弹之上，并在周五的亚洲时段获得强劲的正牵引力。然而，现货价格很难利用96.00中位之后的走势，在最后一个小时回落到96.15地区，这是三天来的首次上涨。

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Fails near descending channel resistance, around mid-96.00s.The AUD/JPY cross builds on the previous day's late bounce from the 95.35-95.30 area, or over a one-week low, and gains strong positive traction during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices, however, struggle to capitalize on the move beyond mid-96.00 and retreat to the 96.15 region in the last hour, still up for the first time in three days.

澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率稳定在4.57%左右，但仍接近一个多月来的最高水平，因为投资者评估了新的经济数据。PMI数据显示，受制造业和服务业增长的支撑，2月份澳大利亚商业活动持续扩张。与此同时，早些时候的数据显示，该国1月份的劳动力市场仍然强劲，这使进一步降息的情况变得更加复杂。澳大利亚储备银行周二将其现金利率下调25个基点至4.10%，但警告称，由于持续的通胀风险，进一步宽松政策并非板上钉钉。目前，市场认为4月份降息的可能性很小，5月份可能降息的预期上升至68%。

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield steadied around 4.57% but remained near its highest level in over a month, as investors assessed fresh economic data. Flash PMI figures indicated continued expansion in Australia’s business activity in February, supported by growth in both manufacturing and services sectors. Meanwhile, earlier data showed that the country’s labor market remained strong in January, complicating the case for further interest rate cuts. The Reserve Bank of Australia reduced its cash rate by 25bps to 4.10% on Tuesday but cautioned that further easing was not guaranteed due to persistent inflation risks. Currently, markets see only a small chance of a rate cut in April, with expectations rising to 68% for a potential move in May.

周五，澳元上涨至0.64美元左右，达到十周来的最高水平，强劲的经济数据推动了人们对澳大利亚储备银行更渐进宽松周期的预期。数据显示，2月份澳大利亚私营部门连续第五个月增长，制造业和服务业活动仍处于扩张性区域。此外，最近的报告显示，12月就业增长超过预期，表明劳动力市场强劲。正如预期的那样，本周早些时候，澳大利亚储备银行将现金利率下调25个基点至4.1%。然而，央行对进一步降息采取了更为谨慎的立场，理由是担心通缩进程可能会停滞。在会后的新闻发布会上，澳大利亚储备银行行长米歇尔·布洛克强调，央行还不能宣布战胜通胀，并警告称，进一步削减的空间可能有限。

The Australian dollar rose to around $0.64 on Friday, reaching its highest level in ten weeks as strong economic data fueled expectations of a more gradual easing cycle from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Data showed that private sector growth in Australia extended into a fifth consecutive month in February, with both manufacturing and services activities remaining in expansionary territory. Additionally, recent reports indicated that employment rose more than expected in December, pointing to a robust labor market. Earlier this week, the RBA lowered its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1%, as anticipated. However, the central bank took a more cautious stance on further rate cuts, citing concerns that the disinflation process could stall. In a press conference following the meeting, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that the central bank cannot yet declare victory over inflation and cautioned that there may be limited room for additional cuts.