欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元周四试图反击。美元继续出现很多波动，但在这个时候，值得注意的是，如果超卖状况继续下去，它可能是美元走强的最大驱动力。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Trying to Fight Back on Thursday.The US dollar continues to see a lot of movement, but at this point in time, it is worth noting that the oversold condition could be the biggest driver of USD strength, if it were to continue.

澳元/日元价格预测：在93.00附近似乎很脆弱；空头可能会挑战年初至今的低点。澳元/日元交叉盘在94.00关口附近吸引了新的抛售，即本周四早些时候触及的每周高点，并在欧洲交易日的上半段延续了其稳定的盘中下跌。现货价格在过去一小时跌破93.00大关，目前似乎已经停滞了自2024年8月周二触及的最低水平以来的两天复苏。

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable near 93.00; bears might aim to challenge YTD low.The AUD/JPY cross attracts fresh selling in the vicinity of the 94.00 mark, or the weekly top touched earlier this Thursday, and extends its steady intraday descent through the first half of the European session. Spot prices slide below the 93.00 mark in the last hour and for now, seem to have stalled a two-day-old recovery from the lowest level since August 2024 touched on Tuesday.

周四，标准普尔/澳交所200指数下跌0.48%，收于7749点，抹去了早些时候的涨幅，大宗商品和银行股领跌。在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周三实施钢铁和铝关税后，投资者在持续的贸易不确定性中保持谨慎。此举引发了欧盟和加拿大的报复措施，促使特朗普威胁要征收额外关税，并重申下个月将征收对等关税的警告。与此同时，澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴内塞重申，澳大利亚不会对美国征收报复性关税，而是选择继续寻求豁免。他警告称，反制措施可能会提高澳大利亚消费者的成本，并加剧国内通胀。跌幅最大的是必和必拓集团（-1.8%）、麦格理集团（-1.2%）和西太平洋银行（-1.5%）。

The S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 0.48% to close at 7,749 on Thursday, erasing earlier gains as commodity and banking stocks led the decline. Investors remained cautious amid ongoing trade uncertainties, following the implementation of US President Donald Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs on Wednesday. The move triggered retaliatory measures from the European Union and Canada, prompting Trump to threaten additional tariffs and reiterate warnings of reciprocal duties next month. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese reaffirmed that Australia would not impose retaliatory tariffs on the US, opting instead to continue seeking an exemption. He warned that countermeasures could raise costs for Australian consumers and fuel domestic inflation. Among the biggest losers were BHP Group (-1.8%), Macquarie Group (-1.2%), and Westpac Banking (-1.5%).

周四，澳元攀升至0.632美元上方，这是其连续第三个交易日上涨，受到美元普遍疲软的支撑。由于不断升级的贸易战加剧了人们对美国潜在经济影响的担忧，美元仍面临压力。特朗普的钢铁和铝关税于周三生效，引发了欧盟和加拿大的报复措施。然而，澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴内塞表示，澳大利亚不会对美国征收反关税。相反，政府将继续寻求豁免，并警告说，报复行动可能会增加消费者的成本，推高通胀。与此同时，澳大利亚3月份对未来12个月的消费者通胀预期从2月份的4.6%降至3.6%，表明国内经济的价格压力正在减弱。

The Australian dollar climbed above $0.632 on Thursday, marking its third consecutive session of gains, supported by a broadly subdued US dollar. The greenback remained under pressure as an escalating trade war fueled concerns about potential economic fallout in the US. Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs took effect on Wednesday, triggering retaliatory measures from the European Union and Canada. However, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese stated that Australia would not impose counter-tariffs on the US. Instead, the government will continue to seek an exemption, warning that retaliatory actions could increase costs for consumers and drive inflation higher. Meanwhile, Australia’s consumer inflation expectations for the next 12 months fell to 3.6% in March, down from 4.6% in February, indicating waning price pressures in the domestic economy.