周五,澳元在经历了一周的波动后稳定在0.64美元以上,投资者期待着下周澳大利亚储备银行的政策决定。人们普遍预计澳大利亚储备银行将现金利率下调25个基点至3.85%,但对进一步宽松政策的预期有所减弱。本周早些时候,强于预期的劳动力市场数据有助于缓和降息押注。官方数据显示,4月份澳大利亚经济增加了89000个工作岗位,远远超过了2万个的预测,并将总就业人数推高至1464万人的历史新高。因此,市场现在预计到年底将降息约75个基点,低于几周前的100个基点。与此同时,美中贸易协定帮助缓解了人们对全球经济放缓的担忧,进一步支持了对风险敏感的澳元。
The Australian dollar stabilized above $0.64 on Friday, following a volatile week, as investors looked ahead to next week’s Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision. The RBA is widely expected to cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, but expectations for deeper easing have softened. Stronger-than-expected labor market data earlier this week helped temper rate cut bets. Official figures showed the Australian economy added 89,000 jobs in April—far surpassing the forecast of 20,000—and pushing total employment to a record high of 14.64 million. As a result, markets now anticipate around 75 basis points of rate cuts by year-end, down from 100 basis points just weeks ago. Meanwhile, the US-China trade agreement helped ease fears of a global economic slowdown, lending further support to the risk-sensitive Aussie.