欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——周五美元试图反弹。目前，美元继续出现小幅买入。最终，美元本应被抛售，但现实已经有一段时间大不相同了。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Trying to Rally on Friday.The US dollar continues to see a bit of buying at the moment. Ultimately, the US dollar was supposed to be selling off, but the reality has been something quite different for a while now.

标准普尔/澳交所200指数周五下跌0.8%，收于8995点，结束了为期三天的反弹，并将其周涨幅降至0.4%，受能源、科技和医疗保健股下跌的拖累。能源股领跌，下跌2.8%至四个月低点，因全球供应的不确定性导致油价下跌。石油和天然气公司Woodside和Santos分别下跌2.6%和3.3%。科技股也下跌，下跌1.9%，至5月下旬以来的最低水平，追随华尔街隔夜下跌，因对美国地区银行和贸易紧张局势的重新担忧打压了市场情绪。此外，医疗保健类股面临压力，生物科技巨头CSL（-0.8%）和Telix Pharmaceuticals（-1.7%）领涨。从好的方面来看，黄金矿商的表现优于其他公司，上涨1.3%，创下历史新高，因为金价走强分别使Northern Star和Newmont上涨2.3%和2.8%。与此同时，在失业率意外上升后，人们对澳大利亚储备银行最早将于下个月降息的期望越来越高，这也给该指数带来了压力。

The S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.8% to finish at 8,995 on Friday, snapping a three-day rally and trimming its weekly gain to 0.4%, dragged by losses in energy, tech, and healthcare stocks. Energy stocks led the decline, slipping 2.8% to a four-month low as oil prices fell amid uncertainty over global supply. Oil and gas firms Woodside and Santos slid 2.6% and 3.3%, respectively. The tech sector also lost ground, down 1.9% to its lowest since late May, tracking Wall Street’s overnight drop as renewed concerns over US regional banks and trade tensions weighed on sentiment. Additionally, healthcare stocks faced pressure, led by biotech giant CSL (-0.8%) and Telix Pharmaceuticals (-1.7%). On the upside, gold miners outperformed, rising 1.3% to a fresh record high as stronger bullion prices lifted Northern Star and Newmont by 2.3% and 2.8%, respectively. Meanwhile, mounting expectations of an RBA rate cut as early as next month, following a surprise rise in unemployment, also weighed on the index.

澳元/日元价格预测：看涨基调保持不变，高于97.00。澳元/日元价格预测：看涨基调保持不变，高于97.00

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish tone remains intact above 97.00.AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish tone remains intact above 97.00

周五，澳元兑美元汇率跌至0.647美元左右，延续了前一交易日的跌幅，因为对澳大利亚储备银行近期降息的押注越来越多。11月4日，澳大利亚储备银行将期货价格下调25个基点至3.35%的可能性约为85%，高于本周早些时候的50%，预计将进一步降至3.10%。此前，失业率意外上升，新增就业岗位减少，这表明劳动力市场进一步放松。然而，分析师警告称，央行可能会等待第三季度CPI报告，然后再决定加息。与此同时，投资者继续权衡美中贸易紧张局势升级带来的风险。在最新的更新中，中国指责美国夸大其稀土出口管制，称由此产生的“恐慌”是不必要的，同时表示对贸易谈判持开放态度。在其他地方，受贸易摩擦、政府关门和美国经济放缓的压力，美元持续疲软，为澳元提供了支撑。

The Australian dollar weakened to around $0.647 on Friday, extending losses from the previous session amid growing bets on a near-term rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Futures price in roughly an 85% chance of a 25 bps RBA cut to 3.35% on November 4, up from 50% earlier in the week, with a further drop to 3.10% already fully anticipated. This followed a surprise jump in unemployment and fewer jobs added, signaling a further labor market loosening. However, analysts caution the central bank is likely to wait for the Q3 CPI report before deciding on a rate move. Meanwhile, investors continued to weigh risks from the escalating US-China trade tensions. In the latest update, China accused the US of exaggerating its rare earth export controls, calling the resulting “panic” unnecessary while signaling openness to trade talks. Elsewhere, ongoing weakness in the US dollar pressured by trade frictions, the government shutdown, and a slowing US economy, offered support to AUD.