澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率稳定在4.21%,交易员评估了劳动力市场报告。8月份就业人数下降了5400人,此前7月份修正后增加了26500人,超出了22000人的预期。然而,失业率保持在4.1%,与预期相符,按历史标准仍处于较低水平。喜忧参半的数据几乎没有改变人们对货币政策的预期,因为市场维持了澳大利亚储备银行本月将保持利率不变的押注,同时预计11月降息的可能性为70%。到目前为止,澳大利亚储备银行对政策宽松采取了谨慎的态度,今年仅进行了三次降息,主要是受季度通胀数据的指导。周二,助理行长Sarah Hunter表示,该行已接近实现通胀和就业目标,尽管前景两侧仍存在风险。相比之下,美联储周三如预期般降息,并表示今年剩余时间将稳步进一步降息。
Australia’s 10-year government bond yield steadied at 4.21% as traders assessed the labour market report. Employment fell by 5,400 in August, following a revised 26,500 rise in July and defying forecasts of a 22,000 gain. The jobless rate, however, stayed at 4.1%, matching expectations and still low by historical standards. The mixed data did little to alter expectations for monetary policy as markets upheld bets the Reserve Bank of Australia will leave rates unchanged this month, while pricing a 70% chance of a November cut. The RBA has so far adopted a cautious approach to policy easing, delivering only three cuts this year—guided mainly by quarterly inflation data. On Tuesday, Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter said the bank was close to achieving both of its inflation and employment goals, though risks remain on both sides of the outlook. In contrast, the US Federal Reserve lowered rates as expected on Wednesday and indicated a steady pace of further cuts for the rest of this year.