标准普尔全球澳大利亚综合采购经理人指数从5月的50.5升至6月的51.6，标志着连续第九个月增长，也是自3月以来的最快增速。扩张完全是由服务业推动的，因为制造业仍然疲软。新业务也有所回升，服务业再次领涨，尽管各行业的出口需求继续疲软。公司通过雇佣更多员工和在积压订单上取得进展来应对更高的工作量。商业信心增强，达到三年多来的最高水平。在价格方面，销售价格以与5月份相同的速度小幅上涨，而投入成本通胀降至2024年12月以来的最低水平。

The S&P Global Australia Composite PMI rose to 51.6 in June from 50.5 in May, marking a ninth consecutive month of growth and the fastest pace since March. The expansion was driven entirely by the service sector, as manufacturing remained subdued. New business also picked up, again led by services, though export demand continued to weaken across sectors. Firms responded to higher workloads by hiring more staff and making progress on backlogged orders. Business confidence strengthened, reaching its highest level in over three years. On the price front, selling prices rose modestly at the same pace as in May, while input cost inflation eased to its lowest level since December 2024.

标准普尔全球闪电澳大利亚服务业PMI商业活动指数从5月份的50.6升至6月份的51.8，标志着自2024年5月以来最快的扩张速度。这标志着服务业活动连续第17个月增长，这得益于新业务的稳步增长，特别是来自国内的业务。企业表示，更大的市场兴趣和不断扩大的客户群是关键驱动力，尽管外国需求急剧减弱，在国际游客减少的情况下以近3年半以来的最快速度下降。房地产和商业服务业引领了活动和新销售额的增长。随着公司增加员工以管理不断增长的工作量，就业人数继续增加，有助于缓解积压。由于燃料、劳动力和材料费用上涨，投入成本攀升，尽管成本通胀速度放缓至今年迄今为止的最低水平。受对需求增强和潜在降息的乐观情绪推动，商业信心升至2022年5月以来的最高水平。

The S&P Global Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index rose to 51.8 in June, up from 50.6 in May, signaling the fastest pace of expansion since May 2024. This marked the 17th consecutive month of growth in services activity, supported by a solid rise in new business, particularly from domestic sources. Firms cited greater market interest and an expanding client base as key drivers, though foreign demand weakened sharply, falling at the steepest rate in nearly 3-1/2 years amid fewer international visitors. The real estate and business services sector led growth in both activity and new sales. Employment continued to rise, helping ease backlogs as firms added staff to manage growing workloads. Input costs climbed due to higher fuel, labor, and material expenses, though the pace of cost inflation eased to its lowest level so far this year. Business confidence rose to its highest since May 2022, driven by optimism over stronger demand and potential rate cuts.

欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元继续看起来紧张。周三凌晨，美元试图小幅反弹，因为市场可能已经走得太远了。市场不可能永远朝着一个方向发展，这也是我们在这里看到的一部分。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Continues to Look Strained.The US dollar was trying to rally a bit in the early hours of Wednesday, as the market may have gotten a bit too far ahead of itself. The markets cannot go in one direction forever, and that is part of what we are seeing here.

欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元继续下跌。周二，美元继续下跌，因为人们再次回到“美元将归零”的情景。话虽如此，势头与其他方面有关，但延期有点危险。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Continues to Slide.The US dollar continues to slide on Tuesday, as the narrative is going back to the “US dollar is going to zero” scenario again. That being said, the momentum is with others, but the extension is getting a little dangerous.