欧元/美元，美元/日元和澳元/美元预测–美元有点混合。耶稣受难日的交易当然有点清淡，但看起来美元似乎继续出现一些问题。此时，美元超卖，周末头条新闻令人担忧，这是特朗普时代的一个问题。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar a Bit Mixed.Good Friday was of course a bit thin in trading, but it looks as if the US dollar continues to see some issues. At this point in time, the USD is oversold, and there is the concern about weekend headlines, a given in the Trump era.

澳元/日元跌破91.00，因日本3月份核心通胀率上升。澳元/日元回撤了前一交易日的近期涨幅，周五欧洲时间交易在90.80左右。澳元（AUD）在交易清淡的情况下走弱，当地市场因耶稣受难日假期休市，货币交叉仍面临压力。

AUD/JPY trades below 91.00 as Japan's core inflation rises in March.AUD/JPY retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 90.80 during the European hours on Friday. The currency cross remains under pressure as the Australian Dollar (AUD) weakens in light trading, with local markets closed for the Good Friday holiday.

周五，澳元小幅下跌至0.637美元左右，打破了因当地市场因耶稣受难日假期休市而导致的连续七天交易清淡的涨势。本周早些时候，国内就业数据弱于预期，这增强了人们对澳大利亚储备银行进一步放松货币政策的预期。尽管3月份失业率稳定在4.1%的低位，但就业增长低于预期，引发了人们的猜测，即澳大利亚储备银行可能会在5月份的下次会议上降息25个基点。一些市场参与者甚至预计可能降息50个基点，理由是对关税升级导致的全球经济放缓的担忧日益加剧。随着美国与主要伙伴举行贸易谈判，交易员们也密切关注国际事态发展。特朗普总统还表示，与中国的紧张关系可能会缓和，他表示不希望关税进一步增加，并可能考虑在未来降低关税。

The Australian dollar edged lower to around $0.637 on Friday, breaking a seven-day winning streak in thin trading as local markets were shut for the Good Friday holiday. The pullback followed weaker-than-expected domestic jobs data earlier in the week, which reinforced expectations of further monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia. While the unemployment rate held steady at a low 4.1% in March, employment growth fell short of forecasts, prompting speculation that the RBA could cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting in May. Some market participants are even pricing in a possible 50 basis point cut, citing rising concerns over a global slowdown driven by escalating tariffs. Traders also kept a close eye on international developments, as the US held trade talks with key partners. President Trump also signaled a potential thaw in tensions with China, stating he does not want tariffs to increase further and may consider lowering them in the future.

特朗普确认与中国谈判，澳元走强。澳元（AUD）延续了4月9日开始的涨势，澳元/美元对上涨，因为人们越来越担心关税对美国（US）的经济影响，美元（USD）走弱。市场参与者正在密切关注美国贸易谈判的进展，尽管由于耶稣受难日假期，交易活动预计将受到抑制。

Australian Dollar strengthens as Trump confirms talks with China.The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its rally that began on April 9, with the AUD/USD pair gaining ground as the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid growing concerns over the economic impact of tariffs on the United States (US). Market participants are closely monitoring developments in US trade negotiations, although trading activity is expected to be subdued due to the Good Friday holiday.