[汇评]INFINOX英诺:加息风暴超级夜 山雨欲来风满楼
[backcolor=inherit]基本面因素:[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]周二([/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]6[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]13[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]日)英国首相特蕾莎梅会见民主统一党领袖福斯特,以期达成组建联合政府令保守党继续执政的协议。福斯特在进入唐宁街[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]10[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]号前表示:“未来是光明的。”协议将在[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]24[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]小时内完成。目前双方仍在商讨部分细节。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]周二([/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]6[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]13[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]日)英国统计局公布的数据显示,[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]5[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月份英国以[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]CPI[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]衡量的通货膨胀由[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]4[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月份的[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2.7%[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]升至[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2.9%[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit],为[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2013[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]年[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]6[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月份以来最高,且高于英国央行[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2%[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]的目标值,及市场预期[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2.7%[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]北京时间周四[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit](6[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]15[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]日[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit])02:00[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit],美国联邦公开市场委员会将公布利率决议及政策声明,同时也将公布最新经济预期; [/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]02:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]美联储主席耶伦将召开新闻发布会。目前外界普遍预期美联储将实施加息行动,市场聚焦重点更集中在耶伦讲话货币政策声明,寻找后续加息以及缩表方面的重要线索。此外,今日还需关注[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]20:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]公布的美国[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]CPI[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]和美国零售销售数据。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]行情分析:[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]欧美[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]欧美:如前所言,欧美持续于[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1.12750-1.11300[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]区间内横盘整理,但随时间推移已逐步步入尾声随时面临突破,关注周四凌晨[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2:00[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]即将公布的美联储议息会议决议及[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]2:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]美联储主席耶伦的新闻发布会,等待重磅消息指引方向后再顺势而为。若能顺势突破上方强压[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1.12750[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]则将进一步打开上行通道,反之亦然。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]黄金[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]黄金:今日关注即将到来的美联储利率决议及随后的耶伦新闻发布会,此前因联储加息预期带来的利空已尽情释放,若晚间耶伦发言无新意,谨防利空出尽报复性反弹。技术上,日线[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]KD[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]进入超卖区,低位拐头,即将形成金叉;[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]MACD[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]绿柱持续放大。上方短期压力[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1274[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit],下方可见第一支撑位于[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1260[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit],较强支撑位于[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]fibo0.5[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]位的[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1255.4[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]镑美[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]镑美:英国首相特蕾莎梅与民主统一党领袖福斯特展开谈判,保守党有望组建联合政府,受此影响,镑美短线反弹,但是否就此筑底仍有待后市基本面消息支撑。技术上,下方支撑依然位于[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]fibo0.618[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]([/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1.2618[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]),短线压力位于[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1.2768[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit],若能突破该线压力则将进一步打开上行空间,甚或再次回探[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]22[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]日均线([/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]1.2885[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit])一线强压。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]今日重点关注:[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]16:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]英国[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]4[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月三个月[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]ILO[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]失业率[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]16:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]英国[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]5[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月失业率[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]20:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]美国[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]5[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月零售销售[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]20:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]美国[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]5[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]月未季调[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]CPI[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]年率[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]22:30[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]美国上周[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]EIA[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]原油库存[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]6[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]月[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]15[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]日[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]2:00 [/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]美联储公布利率决议,并发表货币政策声明;同时公布经济预期和加息点阵图。[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]6[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]月[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]15[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]日[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]2:30 [/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]美联储主席耶伦出席新闻发布会。[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit](以上内容源自[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]INFINOX[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]英诺投研部)[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]文章仅代表作者观点,不构成交易依据。投资有风险,入市需谨慎。[/backcolor] [backcolor=inherit]INFINOX英诺更安全、更高效、更低成本的外汇平台[/backcolor]