【胡远志】：如何利用双顶形态做白银投资韬客论坛 - 黄金论坛(各类现货分析)

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[原创]【胡远志】：如何利用双顶形态做白银投资

楼主发表于：2015-05-18 02:54

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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit]【胡远志】：如何利用双顶形态做白银投资[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit]　　双顶形态是K线图中比较常见的反转形态之一，可以有效帮助现货白银投资者判断行情。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit][backcolor=inherit]一、双顶形态简介[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit] [/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]双顶，又称“双重顶”或“M”头，是K线图中较为常见的反转形态之一，由两个较为相近的高点构成，其形状类似于英文字母“M”，因而得名。[/backcolor][/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit][/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit] 免费白银指导，解锁→解套→技术指导→操作策略→[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)] 白银高级体验喊★.单★解/套裙注377/393/371【远志老师】[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)]远志唯一在线指导Q：304/54/1178，个人电话：1387/13/12025【致电说明来意】[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit]　　在连续上升过程中，当银价上涨至某一价格水平，成交量显着放大，银价开始掉头回落，下跌至某一位置时，银价再度反弹上行，但成交量较第一高峰时略有收缩，反弹至前高点附近之后再第二次下跌，并跌破第一次回落的低点，银价移动轨迹像M字，双重顶形成。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit][backcolor=inherit]二、双顶形态特征[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit][/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]双顶形态是在银价上涨至一定阶段之后形成的，形态出现两个顶峰，分别称为左锋、右锋。理论上，双顶两个高点应基本相同，但实际K线走势中，左锋一般比右锋稍低一些，相差3%左右比较常见。在第一个高峰（左锋）形成回落的低点位置画水平线，就形成了通常说的颈线，当银价再度冲高回落并跌破这根水平线（颈线）支撑，双顶形态正式宣告形成。在双顶形成过程中，左锋成交量较大，右锋成交量次之。成交量呈现递减现象，说明银价在第二次反弹过程中资金追涨力度越来越弱，银价有上涨到尽头的意味。双顶形态形成后，银价在下跌过程中往往会出现反抽走势，但是反抽力度不强，颈线位置构成强阻力。[/backcolor][/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit][backcolor=inherit]三、双顶形态的市场含义[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit] 　[/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]投资者可以通过观察双顶形态的形成过程获悉主力资金的激烈争夺。[/backcolor][/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit]　　在双顶出现之前，银价一直处于长期单边上涨的过程，市场对后市一片看涨，成交量配合放大。但因为长期上涨累积较大的获利筹码，在银价继续上冲过程开始有获利资金了结出局，成交量也大幅放大，银价开始震荡回落，出现调整走势。但在回落过程中，一直错过前期上涨过程的投资者在调整期间逐步买入，银价回落至一定位置后前期获利资金再度进场逢低介入，银价不再下跌，反而掉头反弹走高，表面看市场依然乐观和看涨，但是成交量并没有跟进配合，较第一波高峰时的量能稍有萎缩，市场弱势逐步显现。在银价反弹至第一次回落的高位附近，获利资金因担心无法突破再度获利出局，主力也沽售，于是银价再度回落，引发市场恐慌资金跟出，跌破第一次回落低点，双重顶形态形成。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit][/backcolor][backcolor=inherit]此外，双顶形态的形成还能反映一下几点：[/backcolor][/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit][backcolor=inherit]　1[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]、市场或银价基本面发生了一定的变化。白银长期保持单边上涨，除了有技术面的支撑外，在基本面或者消息面上也会发生一定的变化。一旦市场或银价基本面、消息面出现了重要的利空预期，则会引发银价的下跌。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit]　2[/backcolor]
[backcolor=inherit]、第一个顶峰形成时势必产生一定的套牢盘，当银价出现第二波反弹，并上涨至前期高点附近，套牢盘及短线获利盘均会涌出，致使银价无法继续向上突破。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit]、当白银价格跌破颈线支撑后将引发更多的套牢盘割肉出局。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit]四、操作建议[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=rgb(255, 255, 255)][backcolor=inherit]　　双顶是一种常见的顶部反转信号，一旦形成，银价下跌几乎成为定局。因此，一旦银价出现构筑双重顶的势头，投资者应该认识大势，多头及时停损离场是最佳操作策略。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit]、双顶形态正式形成，银价正式跌破颈线支撑，持仓者应及时清仓。所谓正式跌破颈线支撑，是指白银收盘价在颈线之下，并满足百分比原则和时间原则。百分比原则要求银价跌破一定的百分比数，时间原则要求跌破颈线后保持多日。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit]、如果只是下影线刺穿颈线位置，不算有效跌破颈线，继续持仓观望。[/backcolor]
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[backcolor=inherit]、银价有效跌破颈线后未能及时止损的投资者，可以等待银价再度反抽至颈线阻力位置再逢高出局[/backcolor]
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