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个人的交易计划.不做交易建议,仅作参考.

Canada's Dollar Falls to One-Month Low on Inflation, Oil Drop By Haris Anwar Canada's dollar fell to a one-month low as inflation cooled and crude oil tumbled to the weakest since March. A slower pace of inflation bolstered speculation the Bank of Canada will keep borrowing costs on hold this year. Sinking prices of the nation's commodity exports further undermined the currency. ``You've got a combination of factors which are going against the Canadian dollar,'' said C.J. Gavsie, vice president of North American foreign exchange sales at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. ``Oil has given up $2 in a day. That massive plunge sped up the correction,'' meaning the currency's drop, he said. Canada's dollar dropped to 88.68 U.S. cents at 3:58 p.m. in Toronto from 89.44 U.S. cents yesterday, falling to the lowest since Aug. 15. One U.S. dollar buys C$1.1276. The Canadian dollar has gained 3 percent against its U.S. counterpart this year, following four annual gains. It has declined after reaching 91.44 U.S. cents on May 31, the highest since 91.47 U.S. cents on Jan. 4, 1978. Crude oil and gasoline fell to the lowest in almost six months. The declines came after U.S. President George W. Bush said he will give ***26lomacy a chance to end a dispute with Iran, the fourth-biggest oil producer, over the country's nuclear program. Crude oil for October delivery fell 3.4 percent to $61.66 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest close since March 21. It was the biggest one-day decline since May 15. Gold and copper also declined. Slowing Inflation Canadian consumer prices rose 2.1 percent in August from the same period a year earlier, the smallest increase since November and down from a 2.4 percent jump in July. Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent in August from July, when they increased 0.1 percent, Statistics Canada reported today in Ottawa. Economists expected a gain of 0.1 percent in the month, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. Annual inflation has slowed for three months, supporting the central bank's view that it won't need to raise borrowing costs again this year. Governor David Dodge said Sept. 16 policy makers stand by a July forecast for inflation, minus the effect of a federal tax cut, to slow to the bank's 2 percent target in the second half of 2007. Rates `On Hold' ``Canadian interest rates are likely to remain on hold for the foreseeable future,'' said Monica Fan, head of global currency strategy at RBC Capital Markets in London. ``The point is that rates in the U.K., the euro area, and Japan are rising and reducing the yield advantage on the Canadian dollar.'' The yield on Canada's December bankers' acceptances futures contract fell to 4.27 percent from 4.3 percent yesterday. It's down from 4.78 percent on June 28, the highest in the past year. Bankers' acceptances futures settle at a three-month lending rate that has averaged 16 basis points, or 0.16 percentage point, above the central bank's rate target since Bloomberg started tracking the difference in 1992. ``Global growth is slowing, led by the U.S., which will hit Canada the hardest given the fact that Canada relies on the U.S. for its exports,'' said Fan, who sees the currency weakening to C$1.1300 this month. Canada's currency tends to follow the price of commodities as they account for about 54 percent of the country's exports, and 12 percent of the nation's C$1.09 trillion economy. ``The currency has come out of the range in which it was stuck for so long,'' said Steve Butler, director of foreign exchange trading at Scotia Capital Markets Inc. in Toronto. ``If the Canadian dollar closes below $1.1280, it could be a catalyst for further weakness.'' The yield on Canada's benchmark 10-year bond fell about 4 basis points to 4.08 percent. The price of the 4 percent bond due June 2016 rose 36 cents to C$99.39. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

看不懂，全 是英文

谢谢.

外国人?????????????????????????

外汇市场和国际接轨,第一手资料都是英文. 看来英文要很好,还好,我看得懂.

加拿大通货膨胀减缓,以及石油价格下挫,导致加元贬值.

翻译的不错 懂英文开阔眼界

开阔眼界

By Gavin Finch The U.K. pound advanced against the euro and the dollar as signs growth and inflation is picking up stoked speculation the Bank of England will raise interest rates again this year. The pound rose last week versus the dollar and hit a two- week high against the euro as reports showed inflation quickened in August, property prices rose and sales at U.K. retailers rebounded in August. The U.K. currency was also buoyed versus its European counterpart after an index of German investor sentiment slid to the lowest in more than seven years this month. ``Sterling had a shift up after the last hike, and as we're confident of another sterling looks well set,'' said Tim Fox, a currency strategist in London at Dresdner Kleinwort. ``Its strength against the lower yielding currencies in particular will be well apparent.'' Against the dollar, the U.K. currency rose to $1.8839 at 4:30 p.m. in London from $1.8796 yesterday. The pound was also at 67.31 pence per euro from 67.52. The ZEW Center for Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations fell to minus 22.2 from minus 5.6 in August. Economists forecast the index to slip to minus 8, the median of estimates in a Bloomberg survey showed. The U.K.'s biggest employers' group said yesterday the central bank will need to lift rates to combat inflation, the first time the group has called for higher borrowing costs. Economic expansion in the U.K. is ``stronger and more balanced'' in 2006, Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown said on Sunday, citing an International Monetary Fund prediction that was higher than his 2.5 percent estimate made in March. Barker Comments Brown, who has presided over 37 quarters of economic expansion since the Labour Party took office in 1997, needs growth to push up tax revenue and keep a lid on borrowing. The IMF last week raised its forecast for 2006 U.K. growth to 2.7 percent, from April's estimate of 2.5 percent. Gains for the pound may be limited after Bank of England policy maker Kate Barker said today inflation will probably slow next year because there's room for the economy to grow without pushing up prices. ``We've still got a little bit of slack in the economy,'' she said in a recording of an interview with the Daily Telegraph posted on the newspaper's Web site. ``Unless growth stays very strong, the inflation rate is very likely to come down to trend, and that's what the forecasts showed.'' Rate Forecasts Twenty-eight of 38 economists in a Bloomberg survey who gave forecasts for the central bank's November rate-setting meeting said it will lift borrowing costs to 5 percent by then. The minutes from the BOE's latest rate-setting meeting, due for release tomorrow, will show a unanimous vote in favor of keeping the main rate at 4.75 percent, according to all but two of 16 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The bank unexpectedly raised rates on Aug. 3. The U.K. economy expanded at the fastest pace in two years in the second quarter, prompting the central bank to raise its estimates for growth and inflation for 2006. The Bank of England said the rate of U.K. inflation may reach 3 percent this year, and lifted its growth prediction to about 2.8 percent. The yield on the three-month Libor futures contract due in December yesterday rose 1 basis point to 5.25 percent. The contract settles to the three-month London inter-bank offered rate for the pound, which has averaged about 16 basis points more than the BOE's benchmark rate for the past decade.

Asia Currencies Fall; Investors May Exit Region After Thai Coup By Clarissa Tan Thailand's baht led Asian currencies lower on concern investors will pull money out of the region after the military staged a coup in Bangkok to oust Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. The baht dropped the most since May and the Singapore dollar reached its weakest in eight weeks as the coup leader Army Chief Sondhi Boonyarataklin abandoned the constitution and dissolved the Cabinet and Senate. The devaluation of the baht in 1997 was the catalyst for the Asian economic crisis. With government departments, banks and the stock exchange ordered to close today, foreign investors may sell assets in neighboring countries. ``Clearly, this is negative news for all Asian currencies,'' said Sean Callow, a strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Singapore. ``Currencies of countries with a lot of investments in Thailand, such as Singapore, are being punished.'' The baht was down 1.3 percent as of 11:55 a.m. in Bangkok and the Singapore dollar was 0.1 percent lower at S$1.5883, the weakest since July 20. The Philippine peso lost 0.3 percent to 50.275, the biggest loss since Sept. 7, according to the Bankers Association of the Philippines. Singapore has made some investments in Thailand this year. Temasek Holdings Pte, a government fund, paid $1.9 billion for a 49.6 percent stake in Shin Corp., owned by Thaksin's family. The group has since raised its stake to more than a 96 percent. The Singapore dollar may trade between S$1.5880 and S$1.5950, said Callow. ``The South Korean won will outperform,'' he said. ``It is not as tightly tied to Thailand as Singapore is.'' The won was little changed at 951.90, according to Seoul Money Brokerage Services Ltd. It may trade between 951 and 957 today, Callow said. Return Power Losses in regional currencies were limited after Army Chief Sondhi, 59, who assumed the premier's duties and declared allegiance to King Bhumibol Adulyadej, said in a televised address that coup leaders plan to return power to the people. Thailand has been ruled by a caretaker government under Thaksin since February amid an election dispute. Criticism of Thaksin, a 57-year-old billionaire, has mounted since his family's sale of its stake in Shin Corp. to Temasek. An April 2 election called by Thaksin was boycotted by opposition parties and later annulled by a court. ``It may have been an overreaction,'' said Steve Rowles, currency strategist at CFC Seymour Ltd. in Hong Kong. ``There is instability today, but we had instability yesterday. I don't think there is a contagion.'' Political Turmoil Other Asian currencies of countries that also face political turmoil may be hurt, said Magnus Prim, a senior currency strategist at Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken in Singapore. ``The Taiwan dollar may be most affected, as people will tend to focus on other countries where politics is an issue,'' he said. ``Another country is the Philippines, with its history of military coups.'' Taiwan political demonstrations turned violent yesterday when supporters of President Chen Shui-bian clashed with a group of protesters demanding his ouster, the Apple Daily reported, citing police. The Taiwan dollar traded at NT$32.919, down 0.8 percent in the past month. Shih Ming-teh, the president's former political mentor, has led demonstrations in the capital Taipei since Sept. 9, demanding Chen quit over allegations of corruption against him and his family. Chen has denied the accusations. Philippine President Gloria Arroyo declared a state of emergency on Feb. 24, saying a group of military officers, civilians and communist rebels planned to oust her. She lifted it on March 3. ``This will hurt investor sentiment toward the whole region,'' said Daisuke Uno, a strategist in Tokyo for the treasury unit of Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp., a unit of Japan's third-biggest lender by assets. ``The peso has risen so much recently and could see bigger declines'' to 51 per dollar.

Fed May Leave Rate Steady, Debate Cost of Reducing Inflation By Craig Torres Federal Reserve policy makers will probably keep interest rates unchanged for a second month today as they remain divided over the costs of clamping down on inflation. The Fed's case for doing nothing is strengthened by reports yesterday showing a plunge in home building and a drop in wholesale prices. The economic cost of continuing to attack inflation after a two-year tightening may be too high for some officials, including San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen. At least two of the Fed's dozen district banks have opposed her stance. The debate boils down to competing ideas about how inflation works and the consequences of reducing it, Fed-watchers say. Most Federal Open Market Committee members appear worried about the impact on consumer spending and jobs if rates are pushed higher. Dissenters warn that falling behind on inflation will do greater harm. ``The majority of the committee is willing to let inflation hold above their target for a while,'' said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets in Greenwich, Connecticut. ``There are others who believe the inflation genie is so dangerous that if it was out of the bottle, the costs ratchet up exponentially.'' Stanley predicts the Fed will lift borrowing costs in October, even after figures yesterday showed the first back-to- back decline since 2002 in producer prices excluding food and energy. Economists at Bear Stearns Cos., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. concur. The Fed will announce its decision at about 2:15 p.m. in Washington and will keep its benchmark rate at 5.25 percent, according to all 109 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The Fed lifted rates 17 times from June 2004 though June this year. Labor Costs Inflation is elevated and appears to be spreading into labor costs. So-called core prices rose 2.4 percent in the 12 months ending July, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index minus food and energy, the Fed's preferred yardstick. Over the past three months, the gauge increased at a 2.7 percent annual rate. ``There are many signals of inflation risk,'' said Ethan Harris, chief economist in New York at Lehman. ``The Fed is basically forgiving all the energy-cost pressure that's crept into prices of other goods and services.'' Unit labor costs rose 4.9 percent in the second quarter from a year ago after gaining 9 percent in the first three months, the biggest back-to-back increases since 2000, and a sign of a classic inflation cycle, said Allen Sinai, president of Decision Economics Inc. in New York. ``Price stability does not exist in the U.S. today,'' said Sinai. Policy Tradeoff Yellen, who defended the decision to stop raising rates in August, told reporters in Boise, Idaho, on Sept. 7 that a rapid reduction in inflation ``can be damaging to the economy.'' ``There is a tradeoff,'' she added. Yellen argues the Fed can be patient because the public's optimism that prices can be contained is well-anchored. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker, who opposed the August decision, and Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser - - whose board voted for a discount-rate increase prior to the last meeting -- are more likely to focus on the risks that inflation expectations rise, according to economists who have worked with both men. For Lacker and Plosser, what inflation does in the future depends on what the Fed does and says now. A rate increase soon and a reiteration of an inflation goal could bring prices down with little cost to jobs and production because expectations would quickly adjust. Distinction ``The distinction between Yellen and Lacker seems to be about whether they think long-term inflation expectations are completely anchored or not,'' said Brian Sack, senior economist at Macroeconomic Advisers LLC in Washington. ``If you believe they are, then the FOMC can take a patient approach,'' Sack added. ``If you instead think that expectations are not anchored, and will respond to higher inflation rates, then the FOMC can't afford to wait long.'' Key to the FOMC majority's view is a slowing economy. The San Francisco Fed's forecast shows growth slowing to below 3 percent for at least the next two years, creating slack that will cause the core PCE index to fall to 2 percent by the end of 2008, according to the bank's Web site. Unemployment, according to the forecast, should drift up to around 5 percent at the end of 2007, and 5.25 percent by the end of 2008, from 4.7 percent in September. Basis of Difference Lacker said in an Aug. 30 interview that his own forecast was similar to the FOMC majority. The difference comes down to how expectations work. Lacker's worry is that as long as inflation hovers between 2 and 2.5 percent, the public may begin to conclude that is the rate the central bank is really trying to achieve. ``Monetary policies are judged on taking action or not taking action against extreme uncertainty in forecasts,'' said Marvin Goodfriend, a former Richmond Fed adviser who teaches economics at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. ``The questions are where the risks lie in being slightly tighter or slightly easier.''

Thanks. How do you think Stering?

摆脱 看不明白 说说好吗 谢谢