来自交易第一线
Executive Summary
EUR/USD: Neutral/bearish
The dollar has been ignoring the economic releases for most of August and technical factors have dominated. The US currency nevertheless still retains a positive outlook, based on robust economic data and expectations of further Fed tightening. After a soft spell in early month, the greenback did pick up last week, and should continue to do so. EUR/USD thus retains a bearish short-term outlook. The next supports lie at 1.2105 and then at the 1.1955-65 area.
EUR/JPY: Neutral/bearish
EUR/JPY has followed a clear bearish trend since early August, driven by a strong yen and then by as softer euro as EUR/USD resumed a downtrend last week. The yen might pause in the short-term and ahead of the Japanese general elections of September 12. But a confirmation of the resumption of the downtrend of EUR/USD will nevertheless maintain a bearish outlook for EUR/JPY. Next support at 133.55-75 and then the lows of last June at 130.60.
GBP/USD: Neutral
The recent strength of sterling - linked to the BoE’s decision not to fuel further immediate rate cut expectations – should soften in the short- term. The renewed vigour of the US dollar should thus be instrumental driving cable below the lower end of the 1.78-1.82 range before heading towards the July lows at 1.7300. However, for the time being the latter level looks ambitious.
FX Option Market
1-week EUR/USD volatility to rise towards the end of the week
EUR/JPY volatility biased to the upside
Range bound nature of spot weighs on GBP/USD volatility
FX Market Strategies
Short GBP/USD, with a target of 1.7450
Short AUD/CAD, with a target of 1.1950
Stay short EUR/USD, with a target of 1.2050
Stay short EUR/JPY, with a target of 133.00
2楼
第一线交易参考,是某银行的一线交易团队的操作策略,尽管我不太认同,短线的看法是我只看到1.2050附近,汇市交易应该应时应事!
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
发表于:2005-08-23 01:54只看该作者
3楼
你所说的短线是多长时间???
八戒,你又在看为师的签名了。。。。。。。。。。