发表于:2012-02-29 02:13只看该作者
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大清早顶一顶
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
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0.9932 尝试性多U/CAD
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The euro came under pressure in the US session after Irish Prime Minister Kenny announced that there will be a
referendum on the EU fiscal compact. It's hard to extract the longer term implications of this move at this stage and in
reality, it largely depends on the question asked (just like for the Greek vote last year). However, despite support from
the primary two parties, recent polls suggest that the electorate are more split so the treaties passing cannot be taken as
given. If Ireland were to give a ‘no’ vote, it would not necessarily stop the fiscal compact adoption (since only 12 of 17
Eurozone members need approve) but it would stop Ireland drawing funds from ESM, according to the ESM treaty.
[ 本帖最后由 jealous 于 2012-2-29 11:45 编辑 ]
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There is also a chance that Ireland could lobby for some compromises if it tells the EU that the chance of rejection is high –at the very least adding more event risk into the euro equation. Risk appetite otherwise remained firm on Tuesday, US data was mixed with weak durable goods numbers (down 4.0%m/m) but a strong consumer confidence print (70.8 vs 63.0 cons). Our US economists note that the improvement was led by the expectations component (88.0 after 76.7). Focus today will inevitably switch to the ECB’s second LTRO. Expectations for a large take-up have kept risk assets in demand and after months of speculation consensus estimates have probably risen to around similar levels of the last offering (EUR 489bn), if not higher. On the UBS side, our bank analysts have published their expectations of
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492bn some three weeks ago. Aside from the LTRO there is a busy data schedule ahead with tier-one macro
releases and policymaker speeches due across much of Europe Fed Chairman Bernanke may need to tackle some
tough questions over the Fed’s policy changes when he testifies before Congress in the US session. EURUSD traded
1.3385-1.3463 and USDJPY 80.01-80.79 overnight.
TK-------------------e.forex nis
[ 本帖最后由 jealous 于 2012-2-29 11:50 编辑 ]
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! .gbp 5930 再次沽出一笔!
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USDX日新低 7807 达到前启 低点 1.618 幅度!
现 USDX 上调整 关注 78.25 --- 78.34 !
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发表于:2012-02-29 06:26只看该作者
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搬个板凳学习~
发表于:2012-02-29 08:13只看该作者
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会推动 会推动
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
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!Silver 势线 3701
补充:AUD/U 1.0819 沽出。
2补充:U/CAD <1.618= 0.9924>.
[ 本帖最后由 jealous 于 2012-2-29 16:45 编辑 ]
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gbp aud 皆是平。
BATS失败踩破D CAD损掉35、(针对的LORT没有联动的带起,今日所做的品种) :045:
EUR/U 3428 EUR/J 10813接上多单。
日内短亏损恢复中。。
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主观的想侥幸的抓事件短逆带来的教训。。
[ 本帖最后由 jealous 于 2012-2-29 20:38 编辑 ]
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